Friday, December 30, 2005

Planning For Singularity and Averting Danger

Tony Arcieri of the new 'Singularity Now' blog and forum writes:

Planning the Singularity is one of the most important activities humanity can possibly work on.

And along that line Daniel Poynter of 'The Hyperaware Consciousness' asks three interesting and important questions in regard to possible dangers to be averted:

1. Combined, China and India have six times the scientists as us. As technology and science become ever more imporant, crucial actually, will these two countries ‘take over’?

2. What if the singularity comes when Christian fundamentalists are in political power?

3. Isn’t it likely that a complete reverse engineering of the brain will enable corporations more control over us through advertising (think: the TV brain dead masses) and pharmacology (think: working in a cubicle is unnatural, I feel so depressed; thank god for Zoloft! Now the corporate machine runs even more smoothly.)?

In this post I will address the issue of singularity planning and take a look at how the problematic scenarios that Daniel raises can be dealt with.

First off I will address the problem with singularity planning in general. As I see it the developments leading toward technological singularity are the result of spontaneous economic development. I am not one who believes in centrally planned and controlled economies, therefor I relegate the question of how best to bring about a safe singularity to the realm of how best to protect human rights and dignity in the political sphere. As far as this is concerned I am committed to classical liberalism which seeks to limit coercive government to upholding basic human rights and protecting property while at the same time providing legislation to keep power from consolidating to much in any sphere. This has always been a difficult thing to accomplish and as technologies increase exponentially it becomes more difficult. How do you stop power from consolidating when a small group of individuals can fly a jumbo jet into a skyscraper, or when the government can easily monitor everything said and done by its citizenry, or when powerful trans-national corporations and cartels can monopolize whole industries? These are difficult questions but I will suggest that the answer and the problem a vary closely related - that the very technologies that endanger our freedoms and threaten are very existence will ultimately overcome these problems.

As I've discussed before I foresee radical political and economic changes occurring over the next twenty years leading to a state of “techno-anarchy” which will be the result of the massive decentralization of economic production and the inherent inability of any government to control the mass spontaneous grass-roots collaboration that will result. In my teleological/developmentalist world-view this is a natural development of history which is practically inevitable. I realize that this seems incredibly optimistic and perhaps overly idealistic and I must admit that my view is based as much on intuition as it is on evidence but it is the view I take nonetheless.

So applying this view let me try my hand at answering Dan's questions.

1. Combined, China and India have six times the scientists as us. As technology and science become ever more imporant, crucial actually, will these two countries ‘take over’?

I do not see this as a plausible scenario at all. The way I see it is we are moving toward greater and greater international economic interdependence in which all nations depend on other nations economically. This interdependence fosters cooperation because fair trade between nations is beneficial to both nations. If the U.S.A. Stopped trading with China, or the other way around, it would be a disaster for both economies. That said, despite all the hype in the media to the contrary, neither China nor India is anywhere near over taking either the U.S. Or Europe economically. For instance Robert Fogel says: “ The U.S. is going to be the technological leader, probably through the end of the 21st century. Maybe China will catch up in some directions and maybe it will cede them in some directions like stem cell research, but, we still have a huge, advantage in terms of investment and in terms of human resources in these areas. The country remains devoted to a policy of heavy investment in science especially in the biomedical sciences and in science in general.

2. What if the singularity comes when Christian fundamentalists are in political power?

Long before the singularity arrives the very nature of political power will have changed so radically that are current conceptions of it are hardly applicable. Aside from that, however, I think we need to differentiate between Christian fundamentalism and evangelicalism. The evangelical Christian seeks to make a synthesis between modern culture and the traditional gospel message. I do not see this as a bad thing – in fact I think that this movement is a sign of cultural vitality. On the other hand I find the attitudes of Christian fundamentalism to be unhealthy but I do not see the movement as in anyway dangerous. First there are very few fundamentalists and even fewer in office; they generally eschew violence, respect the constitutional heritage of the U.S.A., and mostly just seek to be left alone. Islamic fundamentalism and totalitarianism, on the other hand, is a grave danger – but that is another issue.

3. Isn’t it likely that a complete reverse engineering of the brain will enable corporations more control over us through advertising (think: the TV brain dead masses) and pharmacology (think: working in a cubicle is unnatural, I feel so depressed; thank god for Zoloft! Now the corporate machine runs even more smoothly.)?

I find this to be the most interesting question. This problem is the underlying reason for militant anarcho-primitivism and is the stated reason for violence committed by Ted Kaczyski. If you havn't read his manifesto “Industrial Society and it's Future” then you should – its long but worth the read.

My solution to this problem is simple: Know thy self. This is the highest goal of science and philosophy. If human-beings are to guide their own evolution then they must know what it is they wish to become. He who has self-knowledge is not easily controlled. This is another example of how the same technology that threatens are freedom can also be the very instruments of our freedom. To understand the brain and to have the power to manipulate pharmacologically is the power of a god. Without wisdom it WILL be our destruction, yet with wisdom it may be our deliverance.

One final thought. Power is potentia, with greater potential comes greater possibility for good or evil. This has always been the case. Technology will bring power. Whether or not that power is ultimately used for good or evil, I think, comes down to the essential nature of Man. For more of my thoughts on this issue see my post 'The Essence of Man and the Singularity'.

14 Comments:

I replied to this post here: http://www.dansmind.com/?p=107

I didn't give the post as much structure as it deserves. Underlying ideas are (they are further explained in the post):

1. As things stand now, American culture seems ready to give itself to complete slavery in the traditional Brave New World way.
2. Mental vacations will be a good thing. Strong psychedelics allow this now, but technologies stamped with the approval of science will all people to experience altered states of mind. We may all further realize our already one-ness when it comes to our psyches.
3. Using the media as a mirror to society may be the best way to improve things.

This is the worst rambling of my life. Little structure; little refinement. That's your warning = )

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Thursday, December 29, 2005

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As some of you may be aware I have an interest in decentralized control of production. In the past I have talked about home power generation, desktop fab labs, and home produced machinima movies. Well I just came across this fan film which you can download for free. I just watched the trailer which can be viewed here, and I'm about to watch the whole thing which can be down loaded here.

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Wednesday, December 28, 2005

Carnival of Tomarrow #16

The new C.O.T is up and running at "The Ministry of Minor Perfidy", and it is a good one. There are enough interesting links to keep you busy for a while. Of particular interest to this blog was a link to a new blog/forum for singularitarians entitled "Singularity Now".

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Sunday, December 25, 2005

The World-Historical Philosophical Dialog

Language is the house of Being. In it's home man dwells. Those who think and those who create with words are the guardians of this home. - Martin Heidegger


The history of philosophy is the history of a kind of technology. This technology is a technology of mediation. That which is mediated is logos (speech/reason). When logos is mediated it becomes dia-logos (dialog).

For a very long time the only mediation of logos was as speech through the vibrations of the vocal cord. This technology allowed thought to be encoded and mediated through the air to another mind. This technology was supplied by nature and with it began the existence of humanity and a new order in nature. This technology is the technology of technologies.

However, speech alone would not suffice because, though with it thought could be shared in proximate space, it severely restricted the mediation of logos through time. With out this ability (to encode thought in a durable medium) very little knowledge could be passed from generation to generation.

For this reason a new technology of dia-logos was called for and invented. This new technology was, of course, writing.

With the written word as the new technology of dia-logos the world-historical philosophical dialog could begin. But what is this world-historical dialog of which I speak?

This is the dialog which begins when one generation responds to the thinking of past generations with renewed thinking and writing. This dialog becomes a world-historical dialog when documents can be recorded, translated, copied, and distributed. This dialog becomes philosophical once the dialog becomes concerned with the nature of existence and the purpose of Man.

In the West the dialog began with the pre-Socratic Ionian philosophers and continues to this day. The dialog began slowly – involving only a few privileged minds. But as western civilization advanced so did the dialog. The advancement of the dialog corresponds to the advancement of the technology of the mediation of logos, which, in turn, corresponds to the advancement of civilization.

With every generation that passes, the recoded thought to which the new generation must respond is exponentially larger. Also as every generation passes the technologies of dia-logos become more sophisticated and far reaching. And the world-historical philosophical dialog grows.

At this late date the exponential advancement of the technologies of dia-logos has brought on a wholly unprecedented state of affairs. This advancement has resulted in the ability to digitally record and transmit logos.

Communication is now everywhere. We are awash in a cacophony of unreasoned noise. At every corner we are distracted from thinking by the mere exchange of information. Still – the number who now participate in the world-historical philosophical dialog is greater than ever. The question remains before us and its answer is as pressing as ever: What is the nature of existence and the purpose of Man?

We who are alive now must climb atop the shoulders of all those thinkers who have gone before and attempt to see even further and penetrate deeper than ever before. We have greater tools to accomplish this than ever before. If you can think, and if you can read, and if you have access to a computer then you may join this world-historical dialog at its most advanced state. No longer is this dialog confined to ivory towers or national boundaries. It is now truly a global dialog. May you answer the call to think.


15 Comments:

I accept your challenge, Sir, and hereby extend it to even (perhaps especially) those that have traditionally not been part of this process. As you noted, the early phases of our dialogue were limited in scope, partially because the conversationalists were too conversant, that is, came from such similar backgrounds (male, wealthy, etc.). For example, "thinking" and “knowledge” have been broadly construed in the West as overly linear or logical (in the narrow sense). If we are to avoid groupthink and petty, in-house debates we need to actively encourage the acceptance of plurality, the strange, and the new. It may seem awkward and scary at first, but learning and growth are worth it.
A term from the hermeneutical traditions that may help here is effective historical consciousness (Wirkungsgeschichtliches Bewusstsein), and seems to be exactly what you’re talking about here.

By Blogger seek, at 26/12/05 17:18  

Let me clarify that I welcome the opening up of the converstion but what I am talking about is not so much a challenge or an invitation but rather a phenomena of history. The conversation has already opened up. The call to think is already on the table as it ever was. The responsibilty of being heard now falls to the interlocuter. If one's thinking opens up new possibilities then it will be answered. But if one's thinking is shallow, vaccuous, or mere charlatanism then it will likely go unanswered.

By Blogger Micah J. Glasser, at 28/12/05 14:03  

And certainly what you've been describing would entail the cooperation and mutual respect of responsible, sensible participants.
"The responsibilty of being heard now falls to the interlocuter."
This sounds wonderfully individualistic, as if we were isolated agents that can be detracted from our living communities. Responsibility is much broader than that, and takes into account the social implications of public dialogue,conditions for optimal devopment, etc. I guess another way to pose this question would be: how can we expect someone that has been largely excluded from these conversations to just "pick it up", to be any good in these endeavors, or perhaps even interested at all. Placing the responsibility on them is naive and negligent and will only foster more discord and groupthink. In all likelihood, the contributions of anyone from a different background than ourselves will seem to be "shallow, vaccuous, or mere charlatanism". It is our responsibility to look beyond that.

By Blogger seek, at 28/12/05 20:59  

No one is in charge of the world-historical philosophical dialog. It is something that is unfolding in time. If you wish to participate then you must respond to what has already been said and recorded in history. If no one cares to respond to what you have to say then you will be forgotten. This is the nature of dialog. No one has a right to be listened to. Most philosophers have been forgotten already and the few who havn't been are mostly misunderstood. However, it used to be the case that you never even had a chance to be heard unless miraculously what you wrote down had been copied down through the ages. Now if you want to be heard all you have to do is start a blog. The Academy is not talking about the singularity but we are, and the reason is becasue I started this blog. Whether or not what I have to say becomes a part of the world-historical philosophical dialog depends on how what I say is responded to. I don't want anyone to be slavishly open to what I say. I want what I have to say to be thought provoking. If what
I have to say does not provoke thought then it is dead and inhert. Unfortunantly this dialog must remain esoteric to a certain extent. Only those who are privledged enough to have spent a long time in education and contemplation are qualified. Fortunantly the conditions under which more and more people qualify for this dialog are growing rapidly and daily. On the otherhand it is important that i point out that this dialog should, and is, becoming increasingly interdisciplinary. The more learned view points the better. However, I am not interested in hearing from the enemies of reason which are interested in the distruction of this dialog and western civilization in general such as is the case with many post-modernist thinkers such as Derrida and Rorty. If your "perspective" is that there is no privelidged perspective then there is no point in you joining the dialog since the aim of the dialog is to come to the absolute knowledge of self and the universe.

By Blogger Micah J. Glasser, at 28/12/05 23:49  

I would like to see some type of verifiable test in the "real world" of such a discussion. As Popper might say, a theory must be falsifiable to be scientific. Can our philosophy be a bit more scientific? Humans have come a long way from the medieval "angels on pinheads" type of discussion.

My perspective is more from cognitive science than from philosophy. As you know, philosophy is often considered one of the six "legs" of C.S. along with neuroscience, information technology(with AI), psychology, anthropology, and linguistics.

Thinking and knowledge may indeed be "overly linear or logical" in the minds of some men, (men as generic for human) but a meaningful discussion has to go beyond such petty parochialisms.

By Blogger al fin, at 29/12/05 10:49  

Your looking for a varifiable test...? We are participating in the dialog right now. I'm not talking about anything controversial. All that I'm talking about is the evolution of historical dialog that has led up to our current knowledge about the universe. Have you read and been influenced by past thinkers? Have you responded by thinking about what has been said, or thought in the past and applied that knowledge to questions about the nature of the universe or man? - then you are a node in the world-historical brain - an intelocuter in the universal dialog which IS science. I shouldn't have been so obscure in my post. Sometimes I feel like writting poetically in an attempt to get people to think about a phenomenon in a different way but it usually just leads to confusion. If you've ever read Thomas Kuhn's "Structures of Scientific Revolutions" I'm coming from a similar perspective of how science works. If you havn't your missing out - the book revolutionizes what Popper has to say. Falsification alone is an incomplete picture.

By Blogger Micah J. Glasser, at 29/12/05 12:04  

A thought from Kuhn:
"What I as a physicist had to discover for myself, most historians learn by example in the course of professional training. Consciously or not, they are all practitioners of the hermeneutic method. In my case, however, the discovery of hermeneutics did more than make history seem consequential. Its most immediate and decisive effect was instead on my view of science.... Increasingly, I suspect that anyone who believes that history may have deep philosophical import will have to learn to bridge the longstanding divide between the Continental and English-language philosophical traditions." from The Essential Tension (1977)
This is not about antirationality or armchair speculation, but the proper place of reason and logos, which has gained broader and broader context as the dialogue develops. Again, I think it's a great post with a powerful vision; I hope we have the consistency and tenacity to act on it.

By Blogger seek, at 29/12/05 17:07  

It is not accurate to say that Kuhn negated Popper. If philosophy is going to live up to being a part of cognitive science, philosophical theories must be judged just as scientific theories are judged. Falsifiability is vital, even post-Kuhn, for any scientific theory that wants to be taken seriously.

Philosophy is subject to historical tests and logical tests. Post-modernism seeks to discard logic as an inconvenient obstacle to--to what? Not truth, certainly, since there is no such thing according to post-modernists. Just say that logic is an obstacle to the acquisition of power, for certain ideologues.

By Blogger al fin, at 29/12/05 17:39  

That philosophy is a part of cognitive science is an interesting (albeit unfalsifiable) theoretical premise. If you are still hearing me as antirational, or antilogical, then I have mispoke or you have misheard me. I share your fascinated trust in the power and capabilities of logic; I also wish to place it in its proper context as I attempt to explore more fully the experience of being human.

By Blogger seek, at 29/12/05 18:54  

Very good, seek. We should certainly hold each other to high standards of rigour, while understanding that we may be bringing concepts from different schools of thought to the table. These concepts might require a bit of manipulation for them to rest easily together in the same context.

Philosophy is not generally a science, of course. It is more of a meta-science, on a different logical level, loosely analogous to mathematics. Even so, it is inextricably linked to science, and is not allowed to abuse its scientific parnerships.

At one time, philosophy played with concepts of religion and theology. Now, philosophy has chosen to interact with the empirical fields of study. That requires a level of self-discipline and consistency from philosophers that was not generally required when dealing with religion, politics, or even economics (Marx).

By Blogger al fin, at 30/12/05 01:08  

Nice discussion. It's pretty cool that I wrote a post about technology and dialog and, low and behold, three different guys, from three different backgrounds, are able to enter into a meaningful discussion directly there after utelizing percisely the technology in question. I just love to hear smart people engage in vital conversation - which doesn't happen very often off-line.

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Saturday, December 24, 2005

Buckminster Fuller on Accelerating Change

"We came out of World War I with almost a million substances known. By the time we ended World War II, we were well up into 10 million, and we've come out of it now where the figures really are getting to be astronomical. We can't really keep track of the rate at which we are discovering more differentiable substances chemically distinct from one another. Those are typical of the information really is a bursting, bursting rate. I'm speaking in relationship to my own life, one life in the extraordinary numbers of lives there must have been on board of our planet. The information is multiplying at that rate during just one lifetime indicates that something is going on here right now that is utterly unprecedented, and we're in such indication of acceleration of experiences of human beings, the integration of the accelerated, the experienced, to produce awarenesses that are indicative of Humanity going through some very, very important kind of transition into some kind of new relationship to Universe, I'd say, the kind of acceleration that would occur after the child has been formed in the womb, taking the nine months, and suddenly begins to issue from the womb out into an entirely new world."
Buckminster Fuller: "Everything I know"

Hattip: Daniel Poynter at The Hyperaware Consciousness

9 Comments:

Buckminster Fuller was one of the first to note this trend of the accelerating future, for the general public's benefit. Toffler, the "Futurists", Extropians, Transhumanists, Brockman, and all the rest are derivative to Fuller (and a few others). Look to Fuller as a guide to the future before looking to the derivatives.

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Friday, December 23, 2005

Dr. Adrian Bowyer on "Darwinian Marxism"



Karl Marx and Frederick Engels wrote in the Communist Manifesto that, "By proletariat is meant the class of modern wage labourers who, having no means of production of their own, are reduced to selling their labour power in order to live." This diagnosis is essentially correct; it is a commonplace that people with resources can quite easily use them to acquire more, but people without have to try exceptionally hard to get anywhere, and most of them never do. Marxism then goes on to say that the way to fix this problem is for the proletariat to seize the means of production by revolution, which is a good candidate for the all-time worst-idea in human history. Whenever it is applied the main things produced are corpses, and in the last hundred years the body count from this idea's application was even worse than that from Nazism. So the Marxist prescription, unlike its diagnosis, is plain wrong. Its prognosis also turns out to be wrong - it predicted that the revolution would happen first in the most industrially-advanced nation (Britain at the time), whereas in practice Marxist revolutions tend to happen in countries making the transformation from an agrarian economy to an industrial one.”

Continue reading this paper


This is the beginning of a fantastic paper entitled “Darwinian Marxism”. The paper was written by Dr. Adrian Bowyer, who is a professor at Bathe University and one of the developers working on the RepRap project. The paper deals with the topic of how self-replicating fabrication machines will effect economics. Dr. Bower refers to this effect as Darwinian Marxism because of the potential for self-replicating machines to evolve according to a pattern of artificial selection and thereby increasing the number of manufactured goods at an exponential rate. This concept is very similar to what I dubbed in my last post 'techno-anarchy' and I highly recommend reading the paper – its not that long. Also you may be interested to know that the RepRap machine is making serious progress toward becoming operational. You can checkout the progress here at their blog.

Also you can read an interview with Dr. Bowyer here at the Speculist.

16 Comments:

This is a hopeful avenue of research, and I would rather have a marxist doing productive technical research, than selling crack on the street or fomenting violent revolution. It would be fantastic if everyone could supply his own basic needs.
:^)

By Blogger al fin, at 23/12/05 22:14  

"Raw materials might be a bit of a bottle-neck, of course..."

Of course.

Raw materials and other pre-conditions are the limiting factors of every potentially "exponential" process. And where exactly does plastic come from?

By Anonymous Jason Ruspini, at 27/12/05 01:11  

These replicators are just the first stage. No one expects the first gen RepRap to end poverty. The real leveling down changes will come from nano scale fabrication. Thes machines will be able to to assemble atoms which means that most everything can be built out of carbon. Carbon is an abundant element on this planet and there shouldn't be much trouble in making sure that everyone has enough to go around.

By Blogger Micah J. Glasser, at 28/12/05 13:50  

Not only is Marx’s “remedy” of violent revolution wrong, but his diagnosis of “alienation” is itself wrong. This is because none of us is either a pure “worker” or a pure “investor.” We are all, more or less, hybrids of these two cardinal social designations. To Paraphrase Marx, a “worker” is someone who uses labor and time as his agency of leverage to gain the products of society, while an “investor” is someone who adds to this agency a greater degree of control over his time. Thus, we have a sliding scale between the cardinal endpoints of “worker,” (with no self-directed time), and “investor” (with infinite self-directed time). Further, we are told that these conditions are unqualifiedly the product of “injustice.” Of course, this leaves no room for personal choice and strategy in effecting our agency.

Thus, not only is there no “Great Man” to Marx’s theory of history—there’s no one at all. If there is no one at all—we are all victims in need of a “saving truth.” (Sounds like someone wants to have us drink the cool aide again—remember Jim Jones and Guyana.) Not only this, we need to be aware that when one begins his understanding of reality by emphasizing his victim-hood, he begins by stacking the deck AGAINST HIMSELF.

I do not wish to make little of the fact that inequities and iniquities exist, nor of the human misery that surely must follow such ills. However, if we are to address these issues, we need to all loose the “class warfare” mentality. No grand scheme has ever, or ever will realize its utopia. The human race has been drinking the cool aide that these bozos have been selling for far too long. These grand schemes, religions, totalisms and the like only produce their own ills to be added to those that already exist. The bloodbaths of the 20th century should have at least taught us this much.

The best solution to our problems, as individuals and as societies, is to deal with EACH problem that we encounter on its own according to the organic and particular principles of social organization that are discovered as we go along. As we discover these principles, we should use (not abuse) Okun’s Razor in weaving our understanding of them into a greater synthesis. Further, as we synthesize our systems awareness, we need to be especially careful that we don’t create new “grand schemes.” The answer to “alienation” begins with refusing another glass of cool aide (social poison).

As to the machine, it is like any other machine in that it serves whoever controls it. Such control can always be subverted. Lasting control comes ONLY from the effective use of strategy. Happy hunting.

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Wednesday, December 21, 2005

From Interdependence to Independence: A Path Forward


This is a picture of an 'earthship'. It is designed to be completely self-sustaining.

The history of human society has been a history of greater and greater interdependence: From the birth of agriculture and urbanization through to the modern, digitally mediated, nation state. On the one hand this escalating evolution of interdependence has spawned new forms of technologies and corresponding economies that have drastically raised the quality of life. On the other hand this ever increasing interdependence has also given rise to ever greater and greater specialization of arts. The consequence of this specialization at this late date is that the average person often becomes trapped in an occupational field and is restricted by the expectations of society to the extent that freedom must seem a joke to many.

For instance how many people dare not speak their minds on important matters – not for fear that they will be arrested by some secret police – but merely from fear that they will lose their jobs? What I'm trying to say is that as society becomes increasingly interdependent the individual must necessarily lose independence and become subject to the will of the whole in order to just subsist. It was for this very reason that Theodore Kaczynski (AKA the unibomber) came to believe that all technology must be destroyed. So the question remains: How can ever increasing interdependence be squared with human freedom? The answer is that it cannot be.

So should we just throw in the towel and all become Luddites? Certainly not. The advance of technology could not be stopped even if it were desirable. The solution to this problem is technology it self.

I foresee a radical new state of affairs arising in which every individual is self-sustaining and independent and yet continues to enter into states of cooperation willingly and not because it is necessary. Let's take a look at what kind of technologies will make this possible and then I will flesh out the concept.

There are only two fundamental technologies in operation here: radically decentralized energy production and radically decentralized manufacturing.

I and many others have already discussed both of these technologies at length elsewhere. But the idea is fairly simple. Once energy can be created at home easily and for free, and once nano-manufacturing has developed to the extent that these machines are self-replicating and can replicate almost anything imaginable, then one will not need to rely on anyone else for any kind of subsistence.

This kind of radical independence will open up incredible new doors in relation to how society is organized. With the arrival of this kind of independence people can enter into forms of cooperation not necessarily based purely on economic incentive, but more on what interests them. This means that all kinds of mavericks out there, who presently must operate independently, or who are forced to hide their maverick ideas and conform to corporate policy, will be able to find one another and work together. They will be able to afford to do this precisely because they have become truly independent thanks to the technologies of independence.

I prognosticate that this new form of organization will evolve quite rapidly once the state of technology has reached this point (probably in the mid to late 20's), and that from out of this new organization a radical new economic and political order will arise.

I call this new order techno-anarchy: Anarchy because all hierarchies have been leveled down, and techno because this anarchy will be achieved through the application of technology.

This new order is the synthesis of Hegel's master-slave dialectic.

More on this later.


13 Comments:

Those earthships are pretty amazing. Even on a cold winter day, if the sun is shining through those south facing glass walls, the residents are forced to open air vents to let the hot air out. The Rio Grande valley is dotted with those things.

The type of independence you refer to represents a critical turning point in society. A lot of productive people might choose to simply "opt out", a la "Atlas Shrugged." No one really knows what people will do, if the need to work for a comfortable living is removed. The problem is that the point of transition will not happen for everyone at the same time.

This is where egalitarianism breaks down pretty badly. More on this later.
;-)

By Blogger al fin, at 21/12/05 21:03  

I see a few roadblocks to this; established interests won't like being taken out of the picture and so on.

They also can't fight it off; a culture that closes itself off from the new production methods is doomed to be outperformed by those that dive headfirst into the abyss.

Ray of sunshine - independent energy production and manufacturing could make possible a way of life disconnected from the rest of society. Want a medieviel lifestyle without the drawbacks of dying young and bad sanitation? You can have that - and you don't have to drag the rest of the world into your little slice o' heaven.

This would accomodate both Muslims who long for the glory days of the caliphate and Ren Faire fanatics.

It also should allow far flung colonies across the solar system to thrive without dragging a long supply line to Earth.

By Blogger Brian Dunbar, at 22/12/05 15:10  

I too believe that the superior state of social independence will eventually exceed the inferior one of inter-dependency. However, I believe this condition will come about for reasons other than as a direct result of the development of nano-based manufacturing and independent energy.

The advent of a new order of Techno-Anarchy will come about in the same way that the enlightenment itself did--Eventually, the censors won’t be able to keep up with the present communications revolution.

Even with the looming advent of a real live Big Brother (via the Patriot Act and other such innovations), the proliferation of ideas, solutions and work-arounds is far outstripping anyone’s ability to keep up.

This said, we will always have some interdependency and that will take the form of energy, communications and commercial inter-dependence. This is not all bad. (What is bad is what Adam Smith pointed out was the result of over-specialization--Namely, the dumbing down and marginalization of wider and wider groups of people who are forced to serve as cogs in “the machine.” Even during the Scottish enlightenment, the writing was on the wall. Still, we can all engage in our personal quests “After hours.”) Man is a social animal and sociality is often constrained by necessity. We are forced to grow when we are occasionally thwarted—that is, if we are not thwarted too much. Life teases to life.

The Zen long ago answered the underlying issue of the constraining aspects of “inter-dependency.” It is the same underlying issue that faces all “mortals.” We, as individuals and as society are always confronted with both disjointedness and the longing for the better place that this longing creates. The Zen key is to feel the longing as a pleasant “ache of reminder” that we can make the world a better place by being ourselves. Everything is out of joint—there is no escaping that fact. The danger comes when we go searching for utopias anywhere other than within. The danger comes when we pin our hopes on anything too out of reach.

Posted by Bill Churchill

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By Blogger Micah J. Glasser, at 23/12/05 01:24  

Here's a presently unanswerable question: once greater-than-human intelligence is achieved, will these people choose to be more or less interconnected?

Perhaps they will choose to be interconnected but maintain a greater ability to disconnect than we now have.

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This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

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Tuesday, December 20, 2005

A Pocket Computer Revolution?

Today I am reporting on three different but related news stories which I believe are indicators of a new trend that I have been predicting.

Has the notebook-to-handheld conversion begun?

Start-up merges cell phone and PC into a handheld

Will pocket-size Sony PC take on iPod?

All three of these articles deal with the advent of new technologies that are allowing for devices that fit in the pocket yet have the power, roughly, of a desk-top PC. As it stands most of these devices are still quite expensive but that will no doubt change.

I find this development to be exciting because I see these technologies as the beginning of a trend with radical consequences for the trend of exponential acceleration of technology. This is because one of the largest problems with information access these days is being able to immediately access and process information precisely when that information is needed.

Already this problem is being solved by the proliferation of so-called smart-phones. However, smart-phones are presently not that smart. But as the gap closes between the power of lap-tops and smart-phones combined with the spread of hi-speed wireless Internet access the utility of the Internet will take a quantum leap forward. This technology will fuel the 'smart-mob' phenomenon and result in underrepresented abilities for corporations to coordinate their businesses. Additionally this technology will allow for unprecedented creativity by allowing individuals to collaborate on ideas all over the world. The possibilities of this technology are limited only by the imagination.

I'll make a conservative prediction that by the end of 2006 these handheld machines will cost half as much as they do now (roughly $1,500) and by 2007 they will begin to rapidly proliferate and will, by then, become a must-have for business people and shortly thereafter for everyone.

6 Comments:

Just hold your breath a bit longer. With the advances in tech that I've seen in the trades I'm predicting that within 5 years we'll have a "one unit does it all" that will comfortably fit in your pocket with more computing power than the top-of-the-line computer that is sitting on your desk-top today.

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Sunday, December 18, 2005

Reason, Physics, and Possibility





After reading this article on String Theory I was reminded again of the humility of ignorance. What I mean is our ignorance about the true nature of the Cosmos and even existence in general. According to the article evidence is mounting that there is really no such thing as immutable laws of nature such as we were all taught in science class. According to the article the laws of nature are different in different pockets of the universe do to the hypothetical inflationary process that occurred after the Big Bang. In my mind this astonishing thesis raises an number of extremely important philosophical questions.

The first question I would ask is what does this mean for human reason and science? If human reason is a development of the evolutionary process in this pocket of the hypothetical multi-verse then how can we be expected to penetrate the workings of a natural order totally alien to that reason in another pocket of the multi-verse operating according to completely different laws?

The other question I would raise is what are the implications of this thesis on the concept of Possibility? What I mean by this is that what we take to be “possible” is either in reference to that which is logically possible or that which is physically possible. In the case of this thesis both concepts begin to become meaningless. This is because what is logically possible is an extension of human reason which is an effect of evolution under the natural order of this multi-verse pocket. Additionally what we believe is, or is not, physically possible is an extension of what we understand about physics. But it would appear that not only do we not completely understand the physics in this pocket of the multi-verse but we may not even be able, in principle, to understand the physics of any other pocket of the multi-verse. If this thesis is indeed true it is very humiliating indeed. On the other hand it is quite interesting to think that there are possibilities out there that we cannot even conceive of, in our current state at any rate.

I think it is important to be reminded of this because sometimes cosmologists give the impression that we basically have everything figured out and we are just working out the details. Scientists are always believing this though. It is curious to think that just before the developments of quantum mechanics and relativity theory physicists thought that physics was almost a complete science. My point is not that science is incompetent – far from. I believe that science is always moving closer to the truth. On the other hand science is never quite arriving at the truth but rather always raising new and more profound questions. Let us not let our thought stagnate in the belief that all the mysteries of the Cosmos can be explained with the simple models of todays science. As science grows so grows the inconceivable mystery that is existence. I think Shakespeare says it best “ There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio,than are dreamt of in your philosophy”.

5 Comments:

It is possible for science to move away from the truth. Particularly when politics (or religion) is involved, as in psychoactive drug research, global warming research, or evolution in education.

Knowledge is fractal in nature. If you look at the sierpinski gasket fractal, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sierpinski_gasket,
you get a feeling for what I mean.

You cannot fill in the blank spaces. You simply create more, but smaller, blank spaces. It is just a concept, but it seems to fit.

By Blogger al fin, at 19/12/05 18:29  

Interestingly that exact fractal has been used as a model for describing Hegel's system of science. Stange how some things come around.

By Blogger Micah J. Glasser, at 19/12/05 23:56  

Science never arriving at the truth...

While it's a bit ridiculous for the human race to worry about some of these things, I often wonder if we are fundamentally limited in some way such that we will never be able to arrive at a complete understanding of everything? Imagine an amoeba. The average amoeba is well suited to his environment, yet most people would agree that no matter how hard an amoeba tries, he will never develop a complete understanding of his environment. So even if the amoeba chooses to develop a complete understand his environment, he is doomed to fail. Are humans in the same predicament? After all, we're a damn sight smarter than an amoeba. But what if intelligence isn't enough? Intelligence is mostly pattern recognition coupled with reasoning (being able to ask what if). However, it's still possible that infinite pattern recognition and reasoning might not be what it takes to completely understand everything. I think the uncertainty of quantum mechanics might actually be saying this. The probabilistic nature of quantum predictions may be pointing to a fundamentally alien way of understanding the universe and we may not have the ability to look at the world that way simply because we don't have the right "tools". And that could mean that we too are ultimately doomed to fail in our attempt to completely understand existence. Maybe that's why for every answer we always find more questions.

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Friday, December 16, 2005

Howard Rheingold and Smart Mobs

Smart mobs emerge when communication and computing technologies amplify human talents for cooperation. The impacts of smart mob technology already appear to be both beneficial and destructive, used by some of its earliest adopters to support democracy and by others to "coordinate terrorist attacks. The technologies that are beginning to make smart mobs possible are mobile communication devices and pervasive computing - inexpensive microprocessors embedded in everyday objects and environments. Already, governments have fallen, youth subcultures have blossomed from Asia to Scandinavia, new industries have been born and older industries have launched furious counterattacks."




Howard Rheingold is an author and professor who writes about some very interesting social trends that are related to such topics as pervasive computing and digital networking. I have not yet had the chance to read any of his books but last night I listened to an mp3 recording of a very good lecture that he delivered at MIT. The lecture was on a recent book that he wrote called “Smart Mobs: the Next Social Revolution”. Interestingly the author also started a blog/website by the same name where he updates with new posts that are related to this theme.

0 Comments:

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Tuesday, December 13, 2005

Quoting the Philosopher






"The history of the world is none other than
the progress of the consciousness of freedom."

"When individuals and nations have once got in their heads
the abstract concept of full-blown liberty,
there is nothing like it in its uncontrollable strength."

"I am daily ever more convinced that theoretical work accomplishes more in the world than practical work. Once the realm of ideas is revolutionized, actuality will not hold out."

- G.W.F. Hegel

7 Comments:

This is an interesting digression into Hegel that you are making. A lot of philosophers considered Hegel something of a dimwit, but I am not familiar enough with his writings to comment beyond that awareness. I tend to doubt the comment juxtaposing theoretical and experimental/empirical work. Hegel was not much of a scientist, so he probably had only a hazy notion of what was involved and required.

By Blogger al fin, at 13/12/05 19:30  

I don't know what to say to that Al. Hegel was perhaps the most penetrating mind that ever lived. Those who may consider him a 'dimwit' reveal somethng of their own understanding. Also you must understand that for Hegel, and indeed even for most modern Germans, Science is not as narrow of a practice as it is in the anglophonic world. For Hegel Science is systematic knowledge of the whole. His philosophy is an attempt to reconcile all past knowledge and place it into system. One cannot, however, merely sum up Hegel. If you are interested I suggest you study him yourself. Be prepared to be challenged. One cannot simply pick up a little book about Hegel and walk away with an understanding. In fact one cannot understand Hegel without first comming to grips with the Greeks and the rest of the history of philosophy. This is perhaps the reason that so many have a low opinion of him - because they cannot even begin to understand what he is saying. I'm afraid that this is a big part of the problem in education. Too many think that philosophy is no longer something worth studying at all, much less with the kind of discipline and commitment that is required.

By Blogger Micah J. Glasser, at 13/12/05 23:49  

Thanks for clarifying your position. Philosophers are much like food dishes. If one acquires an early distaste for a food, it requires a lot of effort to overcome the initial opinion in order to develop a taste for the food. The question becomes whether the food is worth the effort.

Sometimes it is a struggle to distinguish between an idea with depth, and an idea that is merely obscure, simulating depth. The test is whether the idea leads to worthwhile developments and outcomes. That test is still open for Hegel, for me. Since you vouch for him so highly, I will look into it more deeply.

Can you read Hegel in German? I understand that sometimes bad translations can prevent one from understanding what a writer is trying to say.

By Blogger al fin, at 14/12/05 05:36  

Hi Al,
I'm flattered that you take my recommendation seriously. Alow me to point you in the direction of some good resources. First you can find all of Hegel's texts on line and hyperlinked at this site: http://www.marxists.org/reference/archive/hegel/
Also there is a cool little interactive thing at this site that tries to explain the system: http://www.hegel.net/en/e0.htm
And I reccomend a good book that introduces German idealism in general. This book is very good and very understandable in plain English - I highly recomend it, it will change the way you think of German philosophy and is essential for understanding the thought of the 20th century. The book is called "German Philosophy 1760-1860: The Legacy of Idealism". You can review it here at Google book search:
http://print.google.com/print?id=GBu-Mvg1-FkC&pg=PA1&lpg=PA1&dq=terry+pinkard&prev=http://books.google.com/books%3Fq%3Dterry%2Bpinkard&sig=Uet2rGW8UQKbnTHkw3k_Ap7OQ3E&pli=1&auth=DQAAAHMAAABvsyaLhfFKLb_4ZHpm2pZto2i3CIIirYzWMhKLwmf0oSKYxDZkiX3FMf6LfdglrYiLDypetZmc-Q2vH-jfW5oLdqa9rZt9HwKl8zYmtCaSGJxeZ1PvxqG4s9bJTMPPwGkfxuFBwT0dROj0fSO7G9RNxxstfu_rctde5S022MY1Kw
Mind you that I don't agree with everything that Hegel says, but I do think that he is one of the most important philosophers and that he must be understood to be truly a student of the history of thought. Also I realize that Hegel's writing style can a quite off putish and is a little bit extravagent. But I assure that through all of flowery, sometimes bewildering, prose is a kernal of extradinary philosophical depth. At any rate a serious trist with Hegel is a worth while challenge. To answer your question about German - I do read German but I prefer to read him in english because my German is terrible and besides half of the words Hegel uses have their own meaning as ascribed by the system.
Have fun.

By Blogger Micah J. Glasser, at 14/12/05 16:41  

Micah writes the thesis, then Al's antithesis. Now synthesis.

:-)

By Blogger Stephen Gordon, at 17/12/05 08:46  

I concluded some time ago that the continental philosophers bring forward some fascinating concepts, but the essential ideas are actually few in number considering the amount of effort involved. For intros to Hegel, I like Kainz's "G.W.F. Hegel : Philosophical System" and Hartnack's "An Introduction to Hegel's Logic"

There is something there, even for anarcho-capitalists. Worth the time for non-philosophers? Maybe not. Over on my blog some of the discussion on prediction markets is compatible with dialectics, e.g. reality and representation.. though insofar as ideas may influence actuality, they do so because they are informed by actuality in the first place.

I also think that some of the more contemporary French thinkers like Derrida or Deleuze tended to exaggerate their advances over Hegelian dialectics for what it's worth.

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Monday, December 12, 2005

On the Distribution of Wealth

In this post I will address the issue of how the development of economic infrastructure will effect the distribution of wealth over the next twenty years, and ultimately lead to the end of competitive economics and the scarcity of resources.

The number of people employed to operate the global economic infrastructure is a function of the number of people being supported by that infrastructure times the efficiency of the structures within that infrastructure.

The number of people currently on planet Earth is reaching a state of equilibrium. The structures of the global economic infrastructure are currently growing in efficiency exponentially while, at the same time, diffusing geographically to support more and more people and to employ more and more people.

As the global economic infrastructure both diffuses geographically and becomes more efficient the cost of production drops more and more over time. Once maximum geographical diffusion of economic infrastructure is achieved the efficiency of the structures in that infrastructure will continue to require less and less people to operate that infrastructure.

All of this points to a time coming when jobs will become more and more scarce yet capital (the means of production) will become more and more valuable. Does this mean that in the near future the owners of capital will get richer and richer while the workers cannot even find a job?

Not likely. This predicament could not be sustainable because the capitalist's profit comes from those who pay for the products or services of the capitalist, and if no one has a dime to spend then the capitalist will soon go broke as well because no one can afford to buy the products. How can this conundrum be resolved?

I believe the answer is two fold and really quite exciting. Note that these changes will not become that visible until near maximum geographical diffusion of economic infrastructure has been achieved which will probably coincide with near automation of all economic processes – probably in about fifteen years. What I envision is, first, a continuous and steady drop in the price of most products and services. This will result because it will become less and less expensive to produce and the average number of jobs will steadily drop as the economic infrastructure becomes automated. There are a few exceptions to this rule. The first is real estate. The average price of land should reach an equilibrium along with global population. The other exception is technologies which grow in power exponentially. The price of such goods will stay about the same as the utility of such goods increases exponentially.

Now as the prices of goods and services generally decreases at a rate corresponding with the rate of infrastructure automation so will the value of the mens of production. In other words the value of the global economic infrastructure will increase exponentially along with the technology that makes it valuable. This means that the value of stock in the companies that operate the infrastructure will increase exponentially. Already we are seeing the trend in the developed world of a greater and greater number of people owning a greater and greater share of the economy through various securities.

As the economy nears complete automation the smallest amount of capital investment will yield tremendous returns. This, of course, will mean that more and more people will be buying stock and sharing in the ownership of the means of production. This, in turn, will yield greater acceleration of technological and economic advancement as the population of the planet begin to invest a greater and greater amount of their capital in the economic infrastructure.

I see this trend peaking once the economy is fully automated which will result in an economic singularity which will herald the end of the state. The result is that there is, for all practical purposes, no such thing as a scarce resource. Without scarce resources competition ceases to be a necessity for the efficient distribution of wealth.

What technologies could make this possible?

Can we seriously expect this eventuality in a mere thirty years?

Here is what the global economic infrastructure needs in order to practically eliminate the scarcity of resources: Free energy, Ubiquities greater than human intelligence, the structures for manufacturing efficiently at the atomic level.

With these technologies in place there is no purpose for human labor. No one will seek your labor for a wage. Additionally no capitalist can feasibly charge for a service or product because no labor was put forth. In other words it costs nothing to produce anything. The demand is finite yet the supply is, for practical purposes, infinite.

So how will these technologies be accomplished? They are already in the works. The next decade will see the implementation technologies that will harvest the power of the sun and cost little to operate with enough effectiveness to power the entire economic infrastructure for free. First automated factories and fab labs then nano factories will be implemented that can convert simple inert and common matter into any conceivable product so long as the correct instructions are provided. Finally, as AI gains in power it will be used to gradually automate certain processes until eventually a greater than human intelligence is developed which will allow for the entire infrastructure to rapidly improve itself, yet go completely unattended by humans.

All of these technologies can be expected to be arriving on the scene sooner or later in the near future.


*note that just because the value of the economic infrastructure is increasing exponentially does not mean that the value of an individual corporation will increase. In fact it is likely that many, many business models will fail while the more successful will be bought by the most successful. For this reason if you are going to invest I highly recommend the broad basket approach of index funds.



2 Comments:

We are in big trouble. The truth is so Earth shattering, that no public figure has the guts to acknowledge it. Very few have the guts to allow a statement anything like this in their forum. The truth is being suppressed. We are in much more serious trouble than we have been told by any public figure. Don't be fooled by fluctuating economic indicators or short term market stability. The entire foundation of our economy is crumbling. Get ready people. Get your affairs in order. Get your households in order. Get your communities in order. Be prepared. This is no 'correction'. This is no ordinary recession. This won't be just another Great Depression. This will be much worse.

Sometimes, I wonder why I bother fighting so hard for the little guy. Whats the point if they are too stupid to listen? Say that reminds me.

Amazing. The worst economic and cultural crisis of all time will go down in history horribly misunderstood. What a pathetic bunch of ignorant fools we have become. Consumer junkie credit card morons. Perfect little victims.

Don’t believe one optimistic word from any public figure about the economy or humanity in general. They are part of the problem. Its like a game of Monopoly. In America, the richest 1%, now hold ALMOST 1/2 OF ALL UNITED STATES WEALTH. Unlike ‘lesser’ estimates, this includes all stocks, bonds, cash, offshore accounts, and material assets held by America’s richest 1%. Even that filthy pig Oprah Winfrey acknowledged that it was near 50% in 2006. Naturally, she put her own ‘humanitarian’ spin on it. Calling attention to her own ‘good will’. WHAT A DISGUSTING SELF-CENTERED SELF-PROMOTING HYPOCRITE SLOB. THE RICHEST ONE PERCENT HAVE LITERALLY MADE WORLD PROSPERITY ABSOLUTELY IMPOSSIBLE. Don’t fall for any of their 'good will' ‘humanitarian’ CRAP. ITS A SHAM. THESE PEOPLE ARE CAUSING THE SAME PROBLEMS THEY PRETEND TO CARE ABOUT. THE EQUATION THEY STAND FOR ABSOLUTELY CAN NOT WORK. Ask any professor of economics. Money does not grow on trees. The government can’t just print up more on a whim. There are serious concequences for doing so. Regardless, there is always a relative limit to the wealth within ANY economy of ANY size. So when too much wealth accumulates at the top, the currency loses value, the middle class slip further into debt, and the lower class further into poverty. A similar rule applies worldwide. The world’s richest 1% now own over 40% of ALL WORLD WEALTH. This is EVEN AFTER you account for all of this ‘good will’ ‘humanitarian’ BS from celebrities and executives. ITS A SHAM. As they get richer and richer, less wealth is left circulating beneath them. This is the single greatest underlying cause for the current US recession. The middle class can no longer afford to pay all the bills or sustain their share of the economy. Their wealth has been gradually transfered to the richest 1%. One way or another, we suffer because of their incredible greed. We are talking about TRILLIONS of dollars which have been transfered FROM US TO THEM. All over a period of about 30 years. Thats Reaganomics for you. The wealth does not ‘trickle down’ as we were told it would. It just accumulates at the top. Shrinking the middle class and expanding the lower class. Causing a domino effect of socio-economic problems. But the rich will never stop. They just keep getting richer. Leaving even less of the pie for the other 99% of us to share. At the same time, they throw back a few tax deductible crumbs and call themselves 'heros' or ‘humanitarians’. Cashing in on the PR and getting even richer the following year. IT CAN’T WORK THIS WAY. Their bogus efforts to make the world a better place can not possibly succeed. Any ‘humanitarian’ progress made in one area will be lost in another. EVERY SINGLE TIME. IT ABSOLUTELY CAN NOT WORK THIS WAY. This is going to end very much like a giant game of Monopoly. The current US recession will drag on for years and lead into the worst US depression of all time. The richest 1% will live like royalty while the rest of us fight over jobs, food, and gasoline. So don’t fall for any of this 'good will' 'humanitarian' BS from Hollywood, Pro Sports, and Wall Street PIGS. ITS A SHAM. Remember: They are filthy rich EVEN AFTER their tax deductible contributions. They get richer as we speak. They absolutely will not stop. Greedy pigs. Now, we are headed for the worst economic and cultural crisis of all time. Crime, poverty, and suicide will skyrocket. SEND A “THANK YOU” NOTE TO YOUR FAVORITE MILLIONAIRE. ITS THEIR FAULT. I’m not discounting other factors like China, subprime, or gas prices. But all of those factors combined still pale in comparison to that HUGE transfer of wealth from poor to rich. Anyway, those other factors are related and further aggrivated because of GREED. If it weren’t for the OBSCENE distribution of bottom line wealth within our country, there never would have been such a market for subprime to begin with. IF IT WEREN’T FOR THE OBSCENE, UNREASONABLE, ILLOGICAL, AND IMMORAL DISTRIBUTION OF UNITED STATES WEALTH, THERE WOULD NOT HAVE BEEN SUCH A MARKET FOR SUBPRIME AND THERE WOULD NOT HAVE BEEN A COLLAPSE IN THE HOUSING MARKET. Subprime did not cause this collapse. Otherwise, it would have done so back in the '90's. It didn't. It only delayed and then suddenly accelerated the inevitable. In fact, the market for subprime literally multiplied over the last decade as the concentration of United States wealth became more extreme. This created a false boom along with artificially raised values and then a sudden decline. Otherwise, the market would have tanked years earlier at a slower rate. Make no mistake. The housing and stock markets would have been in decline by now with or without subprime. Which by the way, was another trick whipped up by greedy bankers, executives, and politicians. IT MADE THEM RICHER. Along with many investors, developers, attorneys, and public figures. Including three of the most greedy, self-serving, self-promoting, hypocrite pigs that have ever lived. The credit industry has been ENDORSED for years by Oprah Winfrey, Ellen DeGeneres, and Dr Phil. Every interest rate. Every late fee. Every NSF fee. Every hidden charge. Every page of fine print. The industry as a whole was endorsed by them. They told their own loyal fans to run out and support it. In fact, they specifically endorsed Countrywide by name. IT MADE THEM RICHER. In order to fully appreciate this, you must realize what a rotten trick Countrywide had up their sleeve to begin with. How it was later ENDORSED by OPRAH WINFREY, ELLEN DEGENERES, AND DR PHIL. How incredibly irresponsible they were. How they betrayed their own loyal fans. How they were PAID FOR IT. How they contributed to the artificial rise and accelerated fall of the US housing market. Not only by concentrating so much wealth. Not only by flaunting their own extravogant multi-mansion lifestyles. Not only by promoting this unrealistic concept of 'bigger, better, faster, upscale' EVERYTHING. But also by endorsing subprime. Don't believe what you've heard from them or any other filthy rich public figure. THEY ARE PAID LIARS. It wasn't just about irresponsible lending, borrowing, local banker bonuses, or weak oversight. That was going on BEFORE subprime. It was actually much more cruel and calculated. Orchestrated from the top down. 'Predatory lending' is just that. Their plan was to give easy credit to millions while the housing market was high, inflate the market even higher in the process, reap a few years worth of payments from unsuspecting buyers, allow them to accumulate little or no equity, lie in wait as those homes increased in value, then jack up their rates making it near impossible for those buyers to make the payments on time. At which time, those buyers would be evicted, their dreams shattered, and their homes forfeited. Which by then, from the mid '90's until mid '07', would be even higher in value and re-sold for a higher price. The plan was to be executed primarily while the market was strong. They got away with it for a decade even before the talk show pigs endorsed it. Leaving thousands of buyers with NOTHING to show for all those payments made. This incredibly cruel and calculated plan was orchestrated in part by Countrywide. THE SAME COUNTRYWIDE ENDORSED BY OPRAH WINFREY, ELLEN DEGENERES, AND DR PHIL. IT MADE THEM RICHER. It also made many of their loyal fans homeless. What a rotten, disgusting trio of greedy, self-serving, self-promoting, hypocrite pigs. What a rotten, disgusting, immoral way to turn a quick buck. To make as many people as possible love you. Then tell those love-sick people to run out and buy a product or service because you say so. Because you were PAID to endorse it. Without the slightest regard for the downside or anything but your own obscene bottom line. Thats why they did it. GREED. Now, there are similar ties between every major industry, every Fortune 500 company, and nearly every public figure. IT MAKES THEM RICHER. It also drives up the cost and consumption for nearly every product, service, and resource on the market. So don’t fall for their ‘good will’ 'humanitarian' BS. ITS A SHAM. NOTHING BUT A CALCULATED, TAX DEDUCTIBLE, MARKETING PLAN TO RAISE THE VALUE OF THEIR OWN IMAGE. If you fall for it, then you’re a fool. If you see any real difference between the moral character of a celebrity, politician, attorney, lobbyist, executive, or card shark, then you’re a fool. No offense fellow citizens. But we have been mislead by nearly every living public figure. We still are. Even now, they claim to be ‘hurting’ right along with the rest of us. As if gas prices actually effect the lifestyle or bottom line of a millionaire. ITS A LIE. IN 2007, THE RICHEST 1 PERCENT INCREASED THEIR AVERAGE BOTTOM LINE WEALTH AGAIN. Most of these financial assets are on the books. Others hidden. Material assets aren't always disclosed. But make no mistake. America's richest 1 percent keep getting richer. On average, they are now worth almost $5,000,000 each. Thats an all time high. As a group, their net worth is over $20,000,000,000,000. THATS OVER TWENTY TRILLION DOLLARS. Another all time high. Which by the way, is much more than the entire middle and lower classes combined. Also more than enough to pay off our national debt, fund the Iraq war for a decade, repair our infrastructure, and bail out the US housing market. Still think that our biggest problem is China? Think again. Its the one percent club. That means every big name celebrity, athlete, executive, entrepreneur, developer, banker, and lottery winner. Along with many attorneys, doctors, and politicians. If they are rich, then they are part of the problem. Their incredible wealth was not ‘created’, ‘generated’, grown in their back yard, or printed up on their command. The lion's share was transfered FROM US TO THEM. Directly and indirectly. Its become near impossible to spend a dollar without making some greedy pig even richer. Don’t be fooled by the fall of the stock market, industry losses, lower profit margins, bank failures, or the occasional reported loss of a millionaire’s fortune. Overall, they just keep getting richer. They do so with little or no regard for their own industries or the economy as a whole. They are obsessed primarily with a desire to accumulate more personal wealth. They absolutely will not stop. Still, they have the nerve to pretend as if they care about ordinary people. ITS A LIE. NOTHING BUT CALCULATED PR CRAP. WAKE UP PEOPLE. THEIR PRIMARY GOAL IS TO WIN THE GAME. The one percent club will always say or do whatever it takes to get as rich as possible. Without the slightest regard for anything or anyone but themselves. Reaganomics. Their idea. Loans from China. Their idea. NAFTA. Their idea. CAFTA. Their idea. Outsourcing. Their idea. Downsizing. Their idea. Subprime. Their idea. High energy prices. Their idea. Oil ‘futures’. Their idea. The commercial lobbyist. Their idea. The multi-million dollar lawsuit. Their idea. The multi-million dollar endorsement deal. Their idea. $400 cell phones. Their idea. $200 cell phone bills. Their idea. $200 basketball shoes. Their idea. $30 late fees. Their idea. $30 NSF fees. Their idea. $20 DVDs. Their idea. $50 event tickets. Their idea. $30 books. Their idea. $400 PC operating systems. Their idea. $60 video games. Their idea. Obscene health care charges. Their idea. Subliminal advertising. Their idea. Commercial brainwash plots on TV. Their idea. Vioxx, and Celebrex. Their idea. Excessive medical testing. Their idea. The MASSIVE campaign to turn every American into a brainwashed, credit card, pharmaceutical, medical testing, love-sick, celebrity junkie. Their idea. IT WAS ALL THEIR IDEA. IT MAKES THEM RICHER. All of the above drive up the cost of living, shrink the middle class, concentrate the world’s wealth and resources, create a domino effect of socio-economic problems, and wreak havok on society. All of which have been CREATED AND ENDORSED by celebrities, athletes, executives, investors, developers, entrepreneurs, attorneys, and politicians. IT MAKES THEM RICHER. So don’t fall for any of their ‘good will’ ‘humanitarian’ BS. ITS A SHAM. NOTHING BUT TAX DEDUCTIBLE PR CRAP. In many cases, the ‘charitable’ contribution is almost entirely offset. Not to mention the opportunity to plug their name, image, product, and ‘good will’ all at once. Which is usually done just before or after the release of their latest commercial project. IT MAKES THEM RICHER. These greedy pigs even have the nerve to throw a fit and spin up a misleading defense with regard to ‘federal tax revenue’. ITS A SHAM. THEY SCREWED UP THE EQUATION TO BEGIN WITH. If the middle and lower classes had a greater share of the economic pie, they could easily cover a greater share of the federal tax revenue. They are held down in many ways because of greed. Wages remain stagnant for the vast majority because the executives, investors, developers, celebrities, athletes, attorneys, politicians, and entrepreneurs, are paid millions. They over-sell, over-charge, under-pay, outsource, lobby, re-locate, cut jobs, and cut benefits to increase or preserve their own obscene personal bottom line. They do so even at the expense of their own industries. Even after you account for the fall of the market and lower industry profit margins, the richest 1 percent still keep getting richer on average. Simply because their wealth is drawn from the majority in many ways. Not necessarily at the same rate, but still in their favor. They continue to reap more than they spend down or 'give back'. They have done so for many years. As more United States wealth rises to the top, the middle and lower classes inevitably suffer. This reduces the potential tax revenue drawn from those brackets. At the same time, it wreaks havok on middle and lower class communities and increases the need for financial aid. Not to mention the spike in crime because of it. There is a domino effect to consider. Caused primarily by a constant transfer of wealth from poor to rich. IT CAN’T WORK THIS WAY. But our leaders refuse to acknowledge this. Instead they come up with one trick after another to milk the system, feed the rich, and screw the majority. These decisions are heavily influensed by the 1% club. Every year, billions of federal tax dollars are diverted behind the scenes back to the rich and their respective industries. Loans from China have been necessary to compensate in part, for the red ink and the multi-trillion dollar transfer of wealth from poor to rich. At the same time, the feds have been pushing more financial burden onto the states who push them lower onto the cities. Again, the hardship is felt more by the majority and less by the 1% club. The rich prefer to live in exclusive areas or upper class communities. They get the best of everything. Reliable city services, new schools, freshly paved roads, new lighting, sidewalks, drainage, upscale parks, ect. The middle and lower class communities get little or nothing without a raise in basic service charges or a local tax increase. Which, they usually can’t afford. So the red ink flows followed by service cuts and lay-offs. All because of the OBSCENE distribution of bottom line wealth in this country. Anyway, when you account for all federal, state, local taxes, and fees, the middle class actually pay about the same rate as the rich. The devil is in the details. So when people forgive the rich for their incredible greed and then praise them for paying a greater share of the FEDERAL income taxes, its like nails on a chalk board. I can not accept any theory that our economy would suffer in any way with a more reasonable distribution of bottom line wealth. Afterall, it was more reasonable 30 years ago. Before Reaganomics came along. Before GREED became such an epidemic. Before we had an army of over-paid executives, investors, celebrities, athletes, attorneys, doctors, entrepreneurs, developers, lobbyists, and sold-out politicians to kiss their greedy asses. As a nation, we were in much better shape. Strong middle class, free and clear assets, home equity, savings, widespread prosperity, stable job market, lower deficit, ect. Our economy as a whole was much more stable and prosperous for the majority. WITHOUT LOANS FROM CHINA. Now, we have a more obscene distribution of bottom line wealth, and resources than ever before. We have a sold-out government, crumbling infrastructure, energy crisis, home forclosure epidemic, credit crunch, weak job market, weak middle class, weak US dollar, 13 figure national debt, and 12 figure annual shortfall. The cost of living is higher than ever before. Most people can’t even afford basic health care. ALL BECAUSE OF GREED. I really don’t blame the upper class in general. At least not as a group and not without exception. No economy could ever function without some reasonable scale of income and wealth. But it can’t be allowed to run wild like a mad dog. ALBERT EINSTEIN TRIED TO MAKE PEOPLE UNDERSTAND. UNBRIDLED CAPITALISM ABSOLUTELY CAN NOT WORK. TOP HEAVY ECONOMIES CAN NOT BE SUSTAINED. THEY ALWAYS COLLAPSE. Bottom line: The richest 1 percent will soon tank the largest economy in the world. It will be catastrophic. Like nothing we’ve ever seen before. The American dream will be shattered. and thats just the beginning. Greed will eventually tank every major economy in the world. Causing millions more to struggle, fight, starve, suffer, and die. Oprah, Angelina, Brad, Bono, and Bill are not part of the solution. They are part of the problem. THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS A MULTI-MILLIONAIRE HUMANITARIAN. EXTREME WEALTH MAKES WORLD PROSPERITY ABSOLUTELY IMPOSSIBLE. WITHOUT WORLD PROSPERITY, THERE WILL NEVER BE WORLD PEACE OR ANYTHING EVEN CLOSE. GREED KILLS. IT WILL BE OUR DOWNFALL. Of course, the rich will throw a fit and call me a madman. Of course, they will jump to small minded conclusions about 'jealousy', 'envy', or 'socialism'. Of course, their ignorant fans will do the same. You have to expect that. But I speak the truth. If you don’t believe me, then copy this entry and run it by any professor of economics or socio-economics. Then tell a friend. Call the local radio station. Re-post this entry or put it in your own words. Be one of the first to predict the worst economic and cultural crisis of all time and explain its underlying cause. WE ARE IN BIG TROUBLE.

So what can we do about it? Well, not much. Unfortunately, we are stuck on a runaway train. The problem has gone unchecked for too many years. The US/global depression is comming thanks to the 1% club. It would take a massive effort by the vast majority to prevent it. Along with a voluntary sacrifice by the rich. THATS NOT GOING TO HAPPEN. But if you believe in miracles, then spend your money as wisely as possible. Especially in middle and lower class communities. Check the Fortune 500 list and limit your support of high profit/low labor industries (Hollywood, pro sports, energy, credit, pharmaceutical, cable, satelite, internet advertising, video, and music, cell phone, high fashion, jewelry, ect.). Cancel all but one credit card for emergencies only. Call the provider and demand a lower rate. Be persistent. You may get it. (By the way. I gave this piece of advice long before NBC. I'm not looking for kudos. I'm telling you that NBC is directly affiliated with the credit industry. They could have given you this piece of advice years ago. Instead, they stood by and allowed their parent company, sister companies, and network sponsors to RIP YOU OFF. Even now, they give the occasional 'good guy' financial advice only because they are pressured to do so. They carefully balance every piece of 'good guy' advice with their primary goal to GET YOUR MONEY. Which is why their 'good guy' advice is so often followed by a plug for one of their sister companies, sister channels, network sponsors, or coorporate partners. For example: They tell you to pay down your credit card debt. Good advice. They should have given it years ago. Then, they tell you to GET MORE CREDIT CARDS and use them. Bad advice. One week Jean Chatzky tells you to avoid the 'free credit report' scam because it is always followed by a monthly service charge. Good advice. They should have given it years ago. The following week she stands by as her paid fellow advisor Carmen Wong strongly implies for you to have your credit monitered on a monthly basis and praises a caller for doing so. Bad advice. This is actually a plug for one of their network sponsors, coorporate partners, or parent company. The praise is nothing but a psychological trick. DON'T FALL FOR IT. Don't take ANYTHING they say at face value. Instead, read between the lines. Carefully weigh every piece of 'good guy' advice given against their primary goal. THEY WANT YOUR MONEY.). If you need a cell phone, then do your homework and find the best deal on a local pre-pay. You may be able to get one for as little as $10 a month. Don't text. The charge may seem low at the time but their profit margins are obscene. If you want home internet access, then check for a locally based provider. They can be found in nearly every city nationwide. Otherwise, use the least expensive big name provider, and share accounts whenever possible. If you need to search, then use the less popular search engines. They usually produce about same results anyway. Don't pay for any internet download. Their profit margins for such data transfers are obscene. Don’t pay to see any blockbuster movie. Instead, wait a few months and rent the DVD from a local store, borrow it, or buy it USED. Then loan it to a friend or family member. If you prefer the outing, then choose a film produced by the lesser known studeos with lower paid actors. If you want to see a big name game or event, then watch it in a local bar, club, or at home on network TV. Don’t buy any high end official merchandise and don’t support the high end sponsors. If its endorsed by a big name celebrity, then don’t buy it. If you can afford a new car, then make an exception for GM, Ford, and Dodge. If they don’t increase their market share soon, then a lot more people are going to get screwed out of their pensions and/or benefits. Of course, you must know by now to avoid those big trucks and SUVs unless you truly need one for its utility. Don’t be ashamed to buy a foreign car if you prefer it. Afterall, those with the most fuel efficient vehicles consume a lot less foreign oil. Which accounts for a pretty big chunk of our trade deficit. Its a reasonable trade-off. Anyway, the global economy is worth supporting to some extent. Its the obscene profit margins, trade deficits, and BS from OPEC that get us into trouble. Otherwise, the global economy would be a good thing for everyone. Just keep in mind that the big 3 are struggling and they do produce a few smaller reliable cars. Don’t frequent any high end department store, mall, or any business in a newly developed center or upper class community. By doing so, you encourage greedy developers, make them richer, and draw vital support away from industrial areas and away from the middle and lower class communities. Instead, support the local retailer and the less popular shopping centers. Especially in lower or middle class communities. If you can afford to buy a home, then do so. But go smaller and less expensive. Don’t get yourself in too deep and don’t buy into the newly developed condos or gated communities. Instead, find a modest home in a building or neighborhood at least 20 years old. If you live in one of the poorer states, then try to support its economy first and foremost. Be on the lookout for commercial brainwash plots on TV. They are written into nearly every scene of nearly every show. Most cater to network sponsors, coorporate partners, and parent companies. Especially commercial health care. In particular, high profit pharmaceuticals and excessive medical testing. These plugs are countless, calculated, and VERY well written. They have commercial brainwashing down to a science. DON'T FALL FOR IT. Get off the couch and take care of your own body the way nature intended. There is no substitute. If you must see a doctor, then DEMAND that he/she give you more than 5 minutes of their undivided attention. Otherwise, dispute their unreasonable charges. Be prepared with written questions about your condition and get them answered one at a time. If they refuse, then dispute their unreasonable charges. If they prescribe excessive medical testing, then ask if they personally own the equipment or if they are paid a commission for each test. If they find nothing new or signifigant, then dispute their unreasonable charges. If they prescribe a pharmaceutical, then ask for a generic. Better yet, concider a change in lifestyle or simple tolerance. If they still recommend the name brand pharmaceutical, then ask about any financial ties or conflict of interest. If they get offended, then dispute their unreasonable charges and consider a new doctor. If you must drug away your sniffles, worries, jitters, aches, and pains, then at least do your homework. Be aware of the possible side-effects ahead of time. Don't be surprised to find yourself back a week or two later feeling worse. In which case, you should dispute their unreasonable charges. If you are diagnosed with another medical condition, then ask your doctor what he/she has done to rule out those possible side-effects. Otherwise, dispute their unreasonable charges. Don't let any greedy doctor treat you like a number, make you wait an hour, or rush you out of their office. Otherwise, dispute their unreasonable charges. Don't fall for this CRAP that doctors have no choice but to over-book their time or over-charge their patients because of a high overhead. ITS A LIE. YOUR DOCTOR IS MOST LIKELY A MULTI-MILLIONAIRE. The same goes for their bogus claim to over-test so many of their patients because they are afraid of missing something and being sued for it. THAT IS ANOTHER FLAT-OUT LIE. Afterall, if this were true, then it would only explain some of the unnecessary testing. NOT THE OBSCENE CHARGES. It also wouldn't explain their own financial ties directly to the manufacturers of said testing equipment. Thats right. Most doctors hold stock in the very same companies that produce that equipment. Its another conflict of interest. So don't fall for their CRAP. Demand their undivided attention and respect. Afterall, they took an oath. If you have the opportunity before being admitted, then check the record of your hospital. Check to see if they have been investigated or sued for providing unnecessary treatment, excessive medical testing, or fraudulent billing. Dozens have already been caught doing so. Do all of the above regardless of your coverage. Don't force your employer to cover the obscene and often fraudulent charges of a corrupt health care industry. By doing so, you make the problem worse. Keep your guard up when watching ANY talk show. These people are not your friends. They are not your advocates. They are paid actors hired to get your attention and your money. Some of them are also executive producers (Oprah Winfrey, Ellen Degeneres, and Dr Phil.). Nearly every word, smile, and stupid joke is rehearsed ahead of time. Including those which take place so often during what appear to be 'technical oversights' (Today Show. Even their stage hands are mixed in behind the scenes so that you can hear them laugh at every stupid joke.). Its all fake. Its all calculated. These people are not trying to make the world a happy place. They are trying to entertain you only because their marketing studies have shown that you are more likely to drop your guard and support their sponsors. Nearly every segment is about marketing some over-priced product or service. They will use any excuse to plug a gadget, fashion item, travel destonation, credit card, university, drug, medical test, surgical procedure, movie, TV show, book, magazine, song, website, ect. Almost all of it over-priced. Almost all of it resulting in higher profits for their sponsors, partners, and parent companies. DON'T FALL FOR IT. Big business is fine on occasion depending on their product, ethics, employment, profit margins, and profit sharing. Do your homework. If they are screwing up our economy or society, then don't pay them for it. If you want to support any legitimate charity, then do so directly. Never support any celebrity foundation. Don't be fooled by the sale of baby photos, lies about percentage of income donated, or praise from other well known public figures. Celebrity foundations are CRAP. They spend most of their funding on PR campaigns, exotic travel, and super high end accomodations for themselves. Thats right. Filthy rich public figures have been jet-setting the world in the name of 'humanity' for years. Riding in personal jets, staying in super-exclusive resorts, and living it up in exotic locations around the world the likes of which most people could never afford even if their lives depended on it. They bring along agents, advisors, publicists, hair, make-up, wardrobe, lighting, and photo crews who are also in it for themselves. They are paid six or seven figures for their part to schedule, manage, document, showcase, praise, and publicize the 'good will' of said public figures and their respective industries. Every possible expense is passed of as 'incidental' or 'necessary' and billed right back to some 'foundation' named after said public figure and/or respective industry. Every possible tax deduction is claimed. Which are incredibly vague and diverse thanks to our sold-out government. Deals are cut with major networks who agree to praise the 'good will' or 'humanitarian' effort of said public figures and plug their latest commercial project around the same time. Others from around the world pick up the story and save these industries billions in advertising every year. Resulting in higher profits and paychecks for the 1% club. When its all said and done more wealth is transfered from poor to rich. NOT the other way around. So don't support any charity named after a living celebrity. Don't be fooled or inspired by any photo you see in a magazine, any clip on TV, any affiliation, or any short term short sighted progress report. Instead, go to Charitywatch.org and look up a top rated charity to support your favorite cause. Its all there. For example: 'Habitat For Humanity' is a top rated charity. They have been for many years. They operate with a low overhead, volunteer workforce, and donated materials. They have built homes for the less fortunate in nearly every city nationwide. Including New Orleans. They do so as we speak. No similar effort can match their progress hour for hour or dollar for dollar. So there is no legitimate reason to support a slower, less efficient effort represented by a filthy rich Hollywood actor who flies in on a personal jet, takes most of the credit, and makes a deal with a major network for plugs just days before the premier of his latest film or DVD release. By doing so, you support not only the inefficient effort, but also the filthy rich actor. Concentrating more wealth and dumbing down our society further in the process. Instead, support 'Habitat For Humanity'. Its not perfect. It is affiliated with some big business. However, it is MUCH more efficient, effective, and less corrupt than 'Make It Right'. The difference is profound. In general, support the little guy as much as possible and the big guy as little as possible. Keep your own greed in check. Don't play the big stakes lottery games, and don't invest only for profit. Don't believe for a second that you can get rich and still manage to keep your soul because you can't. Don't believe for a second that you can concentrate even more of the world's wealth and somehow 'give back' enough to make up for it because you can't. If you do come into a fortune, then give away the bulk of it to a legitimate cause or directly to others who have far less. Do it quickly before that big money turns your heart black. Find the courage and do it. STAY OUT OF THE 1% CLUB. Encourage others to do the same. Their standard is obscene, unjust, illogical, and immoral. There is no excuse for it. Do your part to reverse the transfer of wealth away from the rich and back to the middle and lower classes. Otherwise, there will be no economic recovery EVER. Unfortunately, there is no perfect answer. Jobs will be lost either way. Families will go cold and hungry either way. Innocent children will starve and die either way. But we need to support the largest group of workers with the most reasonable profit margins. We need to stand for a more reasonable distribution of income, bottom line wealth, and resources. We need to support LEGITIMATE charities (Check that list at Charitywatch.org). This is our only chance to limit the severity or duration of the comming US/global depression. In the meantime, don’t listen to Bernanke, Paulson, Bartiromo, Orman, Dobbs, Kramer, Pickens, Larson, O'Reiley, Limbaugh, Bruce, Ingraham, or any other public figure with regard to the economy. They are all plenty smart but I swear to you that they will lie right through their rotten teeth. IT MAKES THEM RICHER. These people work for big business. They are sponsored by big business. The ‘experts’ they cite also work for big business. They invest in big business. They are all motivated primarily by their obsessive desire to accumulate even more personal wealth. THEY WILL LIE RIGHT THROUGH THEIR ROTTEN TEETH. So don’t fall for their tricks. Instead, look at the big picture. The economic problems we face have been mounting for well over 20 years. All of them caused or aggrivated by a constant transfer of wealth from poor to rich. Soon, it will cause the worst ever GLOBAL DEPRESSION. Its not brain surgery. For the mostpart, Its simple math. Like I said, you are welcome to copy this entry and run it by any professor of economics or socio-economics. Go ahead and do it. Ask them specifically about the link between the distribution of wealth and economic stability. If thats not good enough, then look up what Albert Einstein had to say about greed, excess, extreme wealth, and its horrible economic and cultural concequences. Then call any syndicated talk radio show. Tell the screeners that you would like to discuss the concentration of wealth. Mention the views of Albert Einstein with regard to this issue. Your call will be refused. FLAT OUT REFUSED. The vast majority screen their calls and won't allow this topic. Try any local talk radio show. You will face massive opposition there as well but at least they will take your call. Be prepared. These people are very good debators. The vast majority are die-hard capitalists. If they take offense, they may insult you, talk over you, try to re-define your own statements, or call you a 'socialist', 'marxist', or 'communist'. They often use these words to refer to anyone who points out the flaws of unbridled capitalism. They may follow with the old "socialism/marxism doesn't work" line. Maybe, they should take a closer look at whats happening in the world and see that unbridled capitalism doesn't work either. The heavy concentration of wealth is it's fatal flaw. We need a compromise. A relatively free market system with a minimum wage, a maximum wage, a progressive tax policy, and caps on personal wealth. Any little step in that direction would be a start. If you get the opportunity, then confront any politician or public figure in any forum. Ask them to confirm or deny the concentration of wealth and the relation if any to economic stability. Watch them squirm. They will not give you a straight answer because most public figures are filthy rich. They simply will not acknowledge the ugly truth. GREED KILLS. IT WILL BE OUR DOWNFALL.

Its already underway. A massive campaign to divert our attention. Trump, Buffet, O'Reiley, Dobbs, Winfrey, Pickens, Larson, Norris, Branson, Bohannon, Limbaugh, Coulter, Clinton, Hannity, Ingraham, Bruce, Bloomberg, Doyle, and several other well known filthy rich public figures have been running their mouths about the economy. Finally admitting a hint of severity after years of denial. They even have the nerve to FINALLY acknowledge the possibility of a US/global depression. Still, they refuse to acknowledge the single greatest underlying cause. GREED. Instead, they focus on policies, procedures, and circumstances that were born FROM the underlying cause. GREED. They ramble on about 'subprime', 'toxic debt', 'junk bonds', and 'risky investments'. As if somehow all of this could have been avoided if those transactions had never taken place to begin with. What a joke. Those factors don't represent the underlying cause of this global economic crisis. They represent the effect of a shrinking middle class and massive consumer debt. CAUSED BY GREED. A MASSIVE TRANSFER OF WEALTH FROM POOR TO RICH. Otherwise, there wouldn't have been such a market for subprime to begin with. The debt wouldn't have been 'toxic'. The bonds wouldn't have been 'junk'. The investments wouldn't have been so 'risky'. By focusing on such factors, they attempt to divert our attention, limit our hindsight, disregard the OBSCENE concentration of wealth and capital, that shrinking middle class, the high cost of living, and the particular form of evil responsible for almost all of it. GREED. Dancing their way around the big picture. DON'T FALL FOR IT. Remember: Our national debt was way up BEFORE subprime. Consumer debt was way up BEFORE subprime. The cost of living was up BEFORE subprime. Wall Street profits were obscene BEFORE subprime. The middle class were loosing free and clear assets BEFORE subprime. Our infrastructure was in bad shape BEFORE subprime. Loans from China were taken out BEFORE subprime. The dollar was loosing value BEFORE subprime. All of this took place over a period of many years under both Republican and Democratic rule. All of it coincided with a transfer of wealth from poor to rich. So don’t let these cowardly, hypocritical, sold-out, partisan, filthy rich public figures divert your attention or limit your range of thought. THE CURRENT GLOBAL ECONOMIC CRISIS WAS NOT CAUSED BY A SINGLE POLICY, PROCEDURE, POLITICAL PARTY, OR ADMINISTRATION. IT WAS CAUSED PRIMARILY BY A MASSIVE TRANSFER OF WEALTH FROM POOR TO RICH. THIS ALSO REPRESENTS A MASSIVE CONCENTRATION OF CAPITAL WORLDWIDE. OTHERWISE, THERE WOULD NOT HAVE BEEN SUCH A MARKET FOR SUBPRIME AND THERE WOULD NOT HAVE BEEN A GLOBAL CREDIT CRUNCH. MONEY DOES NOT GROW ON TREES AND IT DOES NOT JUST FLOAT AWAY. IT ONLY TRANSFERS FROM ONE PARTY TO ANOTHER. ALBERT EINSTEIN TRIED TO MAKE PEOPLE UNDERSTAND. GREED KILLS. IT WILL BE OUR DOWNFALL.

A word for those who respond with the usual ‘I know more than you. I spell better than you. I talk like an economist. Look how smart, knowledgable, and articulate I am’ crap. Let me say this in advance. I don’t claim to be an expert in this field. I never will be. I'm still learning and I don't claim to be infallible. But I did go on record with these predictions long before any public figure uttered the word ‘recession’. I've done so 'on the air' and 'online'. Millions of you already know my voice from various local talk radio shows in several states and one syndicated. My first call was in September of '05'. I tried to explain that we will never have world peace without world prosperity and that we will never have world prosperity without a 'fair and reasonable pay-scale'. I also tried to explain the link between 'extreme wealth' and 'extreme poverty'. My call was immediately followed by attacks from so called 'patriots' who felt that my cause must have been to promote 'socialism' or 'bring down America'. Not warn her citizens. You may also remember me from various chat rooms criticizing the 1% club and Hollywood humanitarians in particular. If you search long enough, you will find my early postings online from ‘05' and ‘06'. At first, they were written specifically to fit within a few hundred characters. Including the first draft of this rant. It started with one short paragraph predicting a 'total collapse of the US economy'. Others included phrases like 'game of Monopoly', 'recession is inevitable', 'global recession', 'greed kills', and 'the worst economic and cultural crisis of all time'. Some of which were eventually included here. From day 1, I have tried to explain the link between extreme wealth, poverty, and economic instability. My internet account was eventually cancelled for posting 'spam' in response to articles about the economy. In December of '06', I predicted market instability by spring of the following year. I did so 'on the air'. In January of '07', I called another morning talk radio show and spoke with a guest host who was filling in for a well known public figure. Again, I specifically predicted growing market instability, the current US recession, and the subsequent US/global depression.Which by the way, will be the worst of all time by far. In February of '07', Allen Greenspan acknowledged a 'one in three' chance of a US recession. I immediately called another talk radio show and guranteed AGAIN that it was iminent. I criticized Greenspan and tried to explain that it was not about 'odds' but instead a very simple equation with regard to distribution of income and wealth. I also gave credit to Albert Einstein who went on record with similar views in 1949. As far as I know, he was the first to do so. By late spring of '07', the market was rattled and the economic 'stimulus' in the works. Which turned out to be around $160,000,000,000. THATS ONE HUNDRED AND SIXTY BILLION DOLLARS. Well over 1% of our GDP. Deemed appropriate at the time by our leaders. In fact, Bush went on record with a claim that it was based on a mathematical formula and proven strategy. They said it would work. I immediately predicted that it would have little or no effect. By summer of '07' the stock market was more unstable. The housing market in decline. Again, I predicted that it would get MUCH worse. In September of '07', I predicted that our government would have no choice but to acknowledge a US recession by October of '08'. I also assured the audiance that our economy would "go down in a ball of flames" because of greed and that no recovery would EVER take place without a more reasonable distribution of wealth and resources. I have made these predictions 'on air' and 'online' literally hundreds of times. The first call was in September of '05'. Made to a well known public figure with a large audiance. The first blog post a month or so later. Prior to that, I had never even seen one. In fact, my very first post to a blog was written specifically to warn my fellow citizens about the comming US/global depression. Which I was already convinced at the time would be SEVERE within a decade. That was in October of '05'. At the time, there were literally only a few of us worldwide posting any such prediction online. I'm talking maybe a dozen searchable links. This particular rant began with one short paragraph in '06'. Like the others, it was originally intended to fit within a few hundred characters. At the time, I was unaware of any blogs which allowed for longer entries to be posted anonymously. This paragraph was first written in early-mid '08'. Its been updated several times. There has also been a running debate on iVillage.com which began in October of '07' (don't click on their ads). In February or March of '08', I refered specifically to the bank failures of the Great Depression and predicted that it was about to happen again. At the time, I was one of only a few bloggers worldwide to go on record with any such prediction. This was still several weeks to months before Greenspan, Paulson, Bartiromo, Orman, Kramer, O'Reiley, Larson, Bohannon, Dobbs, Celeste or any other well known public figure had acknowledged even a hint of severity. It was also several weeks before Fanny May and Freddie Mac made the news. I also predicted in March that our markets would end the year much lower than they began. Which was still contrary to what we were being told by any public figure. I was allowed to post but when my predictions came true, the site operators went back all the way to October of '07' and deleted nearly every one of my previous entries (they missed a few.). Their motive was obvious. They wanted to 'erase' my credibility. IVillage.com is directly affiliated with NBC, GE, Universal Studeos, Countrywide, CityBank, Capital One, Oprah Winfrey, Angelina Jolie, Brad Pitt, Ellen Degeneres, Dr Phil, and others who I persecute by name. All of which depend on the constant dumbing down of society. All of whom are partially responsible for the current economic crisis. None of which or whom have the GUTS to acknowledge the single greatest underlying cause. GREED. In fact, those who epitomoze it (all of the above) want my big mouth SHUT. For 3 solid years, I have been ripping on the 1% club for their incredible greed and hypocrisy. From day 1, my call has been for a more reasonable distribution of income, wealth, and resources. My warning that without it, we would face the worst economic and cultural crisis of all time. Since then, I’ve gone on record against people like Greenspan, Bernanke, Paulson, Laffer, O'Reiley, Bartiromo, Orman, Kramer, Larson, and Dobbs. So far, my predictions have been accurate. The public figures DEAD WRONG. Afterall, not one of them acknowledged even a hint of severity in '05', '06', or '07'. When they FINALLY did this year, they all said something to the effect of "None of us saw this comming.". LIARS. There were a few of us typing our fingers to the bone trying to warn people. There were a few of us calling talk radio shows almost daily trying to warn people. I was one of them. Again, I don't claim to be an expert in this field. But I do understand simple equations, basic economics, and cultural trends. I also realize that mainstream views are DEAD WRONG and based on LIES told by filthy rich public figures who will say whatever it takes to serve their own interests. GREED. Afterall, what kind of incredible MORON could even glance at the numbers and somehow think the equation could work? What kind of incredible MORON could possibly hope to sustain an economy based on a constant transfer of wealth from poor to rich? What the hell did they expect to happen when the middle class finally ran low on money to spend on over-priced crap like everything that I mentioned in that first long paragraph? What the hell were they thinking of? I'll tell you what. RICHES. FILTHY STINKING RICHES. Thats what. Now, they are spinning themselves dizzy trying to divert our attention. Mark my words: They will never acknowledge the obscene concentration of wealth or the negative effect had on economic stability. They will never acknowledge the downside of their own incredible greed. They will all come up with one campaign or strategy after another to blame the other guy, the other administration, the other politician, the other party, the other policy, the other industry, the other country, ect. Whatever it takes to dumb down our society. They will NEVER have the GUTS to acknowledge the single greatest underlying cause for this global economic crisis. GREED. They won't even have the guts to acknowledge the views or predictions of Albert Einstein made way back in 1949. THOSE PARTICULAR VIEWS AND PREDICTIONS. Instead, they will produce their own big money/big business/big celebrity 'experts' who have the same motive to lie right through their rotten teeth. GREED. Its not their knowledge I question. Its their character. GREED. Like I said. This is not brain surgery. For the mostpart, its simple math. When you concentrate the world’s wealth, you also concentrate its capital, and shrink the middle class along with the potential market for every major industry. Homes go unsold. Bills go unpaid. Jobs are lost. Banks fail. More products go unsold. More jobs are lost. More banks fail. and so on. and so on. and so on. It happened 80 years ago in that order beginning with a concentration of wealth. It will happen again. This time on a catastrophic global scale. Throughout the cycle, the rich will panic and tighten their grip. Concentrating the world’s wealth and resources even further, getting richer in the process, and ensuring the collapse of every major economy worldwide. Think it can’t happen? Think again. GREED KILLS. IT WILL BE OUR DOWNFALL.

Another thing. I don’t want credit for any of this. Otherwise, I would have given my full name a long time ago. I havn't. IT DOESN'T MATTER. I'm not selling a book and I'm not looking for any notoriety. At least not yet. I do have a plan to go public when my parents die. In fact, I have BIG plans for my inheritence. Every single penny of it. In the meantime, I don't want them to know about it. I also don't want them punished for my big mouth. Which is why I've gone out of my way to remain anonymous for 3 solid years. When I do go public, it won't be for profit and it won't be for popularity. It will be for a legitimate cause and NOTHING ELSE. In fact, I hope to be just one of many. A face in the crowd. In the meantime, I don't care who gets to say "I told you so." IT DOESN'T MATTER. As far as I’m concerned, you can put this entire rant in your own words and take credit for all of it. I don’t care. Just spread the word. Otherwise, the greatest injustice of all time will go down in history unchecked.

By the way. The bailout won’t work. IT WON’T WORK. The plan fails to address the fundamental problem. The middle class don’t need more credit. They need a reasonable share of the economic pie. They also need a lower cost of living and a chance to catch their breath. They need a break from all of the psychological marketing tricks and mass market BS. Most of all, they need to wake up, see the truth, and take a stand. GREED KILLS. IT WILL BE OUR DOWNFALL.

10.01.08
To my surprise, two public figures have found the courage to acknowledge this problem to some degree. On 11.07.07 former presidential candidate Ron Paul mentioned the massive transfer of wealth from poor to rich. He also hinted at the possibility of economic collapse. He did so on 'Face the Nation'. He was blacklisted almost immediately for doing so. On 9.28.08 former secretary of labor Robert Reich refered to the obscene levels of income inequality as part of a "recipe for disaster". He mentioned the richest one percent in particular. He did so on 'Late Night With Conan O'Brien'. As far as I know, Albert Einstein was the first to explain the link between extreme wealth and economic instability. He did so in 1949. He explained how the first Great Depression was actually caused by a massive transfer of wealth from poor to rich. He predicted that it would happen again. He also predicted much greater levels of economic instability proportional to much greater levels of income and wealth inequality. He was right. Amazing. The prosperity of an entire world is about to be compromised. Almost entirely because of greed. IT WILL BE OUR DOWNFALL.

Another word about the first Great Depression. It really was a perfect storm. Caused almost entirely by greed. First, there was unprecedented economic growth. There was a massive building spree. There was a growing sense of optimism and materialism. There was a growing obsession for celebrities. The American people became spoiled, foolish, naive, brainwashed, and love-sick. They were bombarded with ads for one product or service after another. Encouraged to spend all of their money as if it were going out of style. Obscene profits were hoarded at the top. All of this represented a MASSIVE transfer of wealth from poor to rich. Executives, entrepreneurs, developers, celebrities, and share holders. By 1929, America's wealthiest 1 percent had accumulated around 40% of all United States wealth. The upper class held around 30%. The middle and lower classes were left to share the rest. When the majority finally ran low on money to spend, profits declined and the stock market crashed. Of course, the rich threw a fit and started cutting jobs. They would stop at nothing to maintain their disgusting profit margins and ill-gotten obscene levels of wealth as long as possible. The small business owners did what they felt necessary to survive. They cut more jobs. The losses were felt primarily by the little guy. This created a domino effect. The middle class shrunk drastically and the lower class expanded. With less wealth in reserve and active circulation, banks failed by the hundreds. More jobs were cut. Unemployment reached 25% in 1933. The worst year of the Great Depression. Those who were employed had to settle for much lower wages. Millions went cold and hungry. The recovery involved a massive infusion of new currency, a World War, and higher taxes on the rich. With so many men in the service, so many women on the production line, and those higher taxes to help pay for it, the lions share of United States wealth was gradually transfered back to the middle class. This redistribution of wealth continued until the mid seventies. At the time, the richest 1% reaped about 10% of all private income and held about 20% of all United States wealth. Far less than previous levels. The middle class had home equity, free and clear assets, and money in the bank. Most American households were secure with a single full time provider. Most retirees could enjoy their lives, live in their own homes, afford basic health care, and not have to worry about going bankrupt. THATS THE WAY IT SHOULD BE. The tide began to change in 1976. Jimmy Carter was blamed for a recession that was actually caused by a number of global circumstances including greed. Then a short sighted little pig by the name of Arthur Laffer came along. Known for his famous 'Laffer Curve'. A simple and short sighted equation whipped up to increase tax revenues and profit margins without the slightest regard for ANYTHING ELSE. He convinced Ronald Reagan to campaign on and grant massive tax breaks to the rich and their respective industries. His half-baked theory was that by doing so, unprecidented levels of economic growth and revenue could be achieved. He was right. Unfortunately, he failed to see or acknowledge the big picture. He failed to understand or admit what should have been incredibly obvious after the first Great Depression. That 'economic growth' and 'actual prosperity' are two very different things. Jobs don't necessarily 'create' wealth. In fact, they almost never do. For the mostpart, they only transfer it from one party to another. The devil is in the details. Reaganomics, gave the rich and their respective industries the incentive to 'expand' and 'create jobs'. But those products and services were misrepresented, over-priced, and then sold or billed right back to the people. Often, without their knowledge, understanding, or consent. Certainly without a clue about how the economy REALLY works. All of this resulted in higher profits for those at the top and stagnant wages for almost everyone else. The cost of living went up right along with those obscene profit margins. The American people ended up working more hours just to maintain their standard of living. So with Reaganomics, the transfer of wealth from poor to rich was kicked back into high gear. Here we are 27 years later. Trillions in wealth and capital have been concentrated all over again. National and consumer debt are both at an all time high. The middle class are weak, the lower class flat broke, and the cost of basic living higher than ever before. The dollar is weak because too many of them have been hoarded and the government left with no choice but to print billions more backed up by loans from China. Its another perfect storm. THE BIG ONE. The largest economy in the world is about to go down in a ball of flames. Ground zero of a global economic crisis. CAUSED ALMOST ENTIRELY BY GREED. A MASSIVE TRANSFER OF WEALTH FROM POOR TO RICH. As a nation, we don't even see it because our entire culture has been defined by Washington, Wall Street, Hollywood, Pro-sports, and commercial health care. We have been lied to and led around like puppies by those with the worst possible motive. GREED. THEY WANT OUR MONEY. For the mostpart, we just bend over and let them take it. We have become their perfect little victims once again. A nation of consumer junkie, credit card, couch potatoe, drug and doctor morons. We spend most of our spare time on that couch getting brainwashed by greedy public figures who will say or do whatever it takes to get our money. Even worse, those public figures have re-defined any logical standard we ever had for 'good will'. Mother Teresa is dead. America's favorite 'humanitarian' is now a filthy rich multi-media pig who reaped a 2.5 billion dollar fortune from the majority by making damn sure they stay on that couch long enough to watch her show and read her magazine. Transforming them into pathetic, naive, love-sick fools who turn around and buy any product or service given away to a cheering studeo audiance or endorsed by their idol. The same goes for Ellen Degeneres, Dr Phil, Regis and Kelly, Rachael Ray, The View, and their respective demographics. Which by the way, are almost identical. Primarily, middle class housewives, retirees, and welfare mothers. Who have been shown through marketing research to spend most of their money and food stamps on over-priced CRAP advertised on TV or a TV show website (ivillage.com). Especially if that over-priced crap is endorsed by a 'hero' or 'humanitarian'. They are easy targets. Not like the rest of us are much less gullible. We're not. In fact, every filthy rich well known public figure and every major industry have followed suit with a similar marketing strategy. Dumbing down our society and cashing in on bogus promises to make the world a better place. They do it because they know it works. They also know that we are too stupid, short sighted, naive, smitten, and love-sick to take a closer look at the world and see that they are wolves in sheep's clothing. To see that what they are doing is FALSE. For example: In the fall of '01', Jennifer Lopez was invited to take part in a music video for charity. The effort was hailed as a benefit for victims of AIDS and 9/11. Well, Jennifer Lopez doesn't do ANYTHING for free. She DEMANDED AND RECIEVED the following for her exclusive use: A 45 foot trailer with a TV, VCR, stereo, an assortment of CDs, a white dressing room with lavish all white decor, all white furniture, and an assortment of exotic fruits and desserts. All of this was necessary just to get her sorry ass in the studeo for 30 minutes. FOR CHARITY. Of course, the organizers are partly to blame for selling out to a 'diva'. In fact, I have my doubts about the entire project. Charity just isn't what it used to be. Most of it has gone commercial. SOLD OUT. Even the UN has become a PR firm for Hollywood and Pro-Sports. Going so far as to allow George Clooney access to the UN headquarters auditorium with his own camera crew. A F$#@$&% CELEBRITY. Of course, that footage was plastered all over the media weeks later right along with plugs for his latest Hollywood blockbuster. Like I said, the UN has become a PR firm. Most of their 'good will ambassadors' are filthy rich, hypocrite pigs who dumb down their ignorant fans, take as much of their money as possible, buy up mass acreage and multiple mansions, flaunt their extravogant lifestyles, jet-set the world, burn through limited life sustaining resources like there is no tomorrow, drive up the cost of living worldwide, and then run their mouths about 'poverty' or some other 'injustice' everytime their latest commercial project hits the market. They do it for publicity. They even have the nerve to run their mouths about 'global warming', 'conservation', and 'green' living. As if the example they set is anything but obscene. As if a roll of eco-friendly toilet paper somehow offsets the clear cutting of a dozen acres to build another F%$#$@# CELEBRITY MANSION. Of course, they have NOTHING to say about greed or economic injustice. NOTHING to say about the obscene concentration of wealth and resources worldwide. NOT A SINGLE F%$#@#$ WORD. What a bunch of false heroes. These people have no real desire to make the world a better place. Their primary goal is to APPEAR as if they do. IT MAKES THEM RICHER. It also gives them a lame excuse to be such greedy, rank, filthy, disgusting, slobbering, squandering, hypocrite pigs. Amazing. EVERY big business, EVERY big celebrity, EVERY billionaire, and damn near every multi-millionaire on the planet have all taken up 'philanthropy' or 'good will'. Those with the most money, also have the most power, and influense by far. They own or influense every government, manage every major industry, and the lion's share of life sustaining resources. They literally rule our world. They always have. Still, every major problem of modern society gets worse by the day. The world's wealth is more concentrated than ever before. Her life sustaining resources are in high demand, more expensive than ever, and squandered by the rich on extravogant living. Meanwhile, families lose their homes, retirees lose their pensions, heroes lose their lives, crime is up, and red ink flows in nearly every community nationwide. The global economy is in a state of crisis. The prosperity of an entire world is about to be compromised. Still, those with the most power, money, influense, and 'good will' promise to make it all better. If only we continue to buy any product or service with their name on it. IT IS A SHAM. GOOD WILL HAS BECOME BIG BUSINESS.

The rich and famous do not want to be seen as 'pigs' or go down in history as 'villains'. They want to be seen as 'heros' and go down in history as 'humanitarians'. The market for their product has become global. The fan base has become global. Therefore, the 'humanitarian' effort and 'good will' PR machine has gone global. These 'humanitarian' efforts and 'good deeds' are not chosen to address the greatest need or injustice. For the mostpart, they are not even chosen by celebrities or executives. Those little stories they tell about it are LIES. These 'humanitarian' efforts and 'good deeds' are chosen for the mostpart, by trained image consulting, tax deducting, and marketing professionals who work behind the scenes for every big name celebrity and business on the planet. They are chosen almost exclusively to appeal to the largest demographic for their respective commercial products. The largest fan base. Its all considered and calculated ahead of time. Real world efficiency or effect is of little or no concern. Its all about PR, marketing, image, fame, and profit. This is why so many of the rich and famous have taken up 'philanthropy' or 'good will' around the world. This is why so many have 'schools', 'foundations', 'clubs', or 'playgrounds' in their own name. This is why so many play golf or appear on a TV game show for 'charity'. This is why so many sign motorcycles on TV, other merchandise, or auction off their own 'personal effects' for 'charity'. This is why so many have TV shows with a 'charitable' gimmick. This is why so many arrange photo ops with wounded veterans, firefighters, or sick children. This is why so many have adopted children from around the world (Which they always pay others to care for full time. The hired professionals are sworn by legal contract to confidentiality. Not allowed to discuss or appear in public with the children they care for. Those 'photo' and 'interview' opportunities are reserved exclusively for the rich and famous 'adoptive' parents. Often sold for millions.). This is why every 'humanitarian' effort and 'good deed' is plastered all over the media worldwide. Its not about 'humanity' or 'good will'. Its all about PR, marketing, image, fame, and PROFIT. This is why we are so often reminded of their respective 'good deeds' and 'humanitarian' efforts shortly before or after the release of their latest commercial product. IT IS A SHAM. NOTHING BUT A BOGUS CAMPAIGN OF TAX DEDUCTIBLE PR MARKETING CRAP. GOOD WILL HAS BECOME BIG BUSINESS.

Still not convinced? Here is a short list of well known public figures and executives who's respective 'good deeds' and 'humanitarian efforts' were documented and publicized at critical moments in time. Their true colors were eventually shown: Bernie Ebbers (Worldcom fraud). Kenneth Lay and Jeffery Skilling (Enron fraud). Martha Stewart (Insider trading). Bill Gates (Anti-trust). Michael Vicks (Dog fighting). Wesley Snipes (Tax fraud). Mike Tyson (Rape). Lil Kim (Perjury). Chris Langham (Child porn). Jim Baker (Ministry fraud). Michael Richards (Racist). Mel Gibson (Anti-semite). Michael Jackson (Pedophile). Al Capone (Crime boss). So what else do they all have in common besides their incredible greed, over-pay, and rotten moral character? Thats right. A MASSIVE CAMPAIGN OF 'GOOD WILL' 'HUMANITARIAN' PR MARKETING CRAP. Look it up. All of the above took part in 'good will' 'humanitarian' efforts. All were publicized. They also got caught in rotten immoral contradictory behaviour. Most were convicted on felony charges. Mark my words: There will be many more. More true colors will be shown. We are living in the most profound era of greed, fraud, and hypocrisy ever. Its nothing short of an epidemic. Not a single well known living public figure is anywhere near as noble as they are made out to be. Not a single one of them took up 'philanthropy' or 'good will' until AFTER they became well known public figures. Not Oprah, Angelina, Brad, Bono, Bill, Melinda, Richard, Warren, Donald, Michael, or any other well known celebrity or executive. NOT A SINGLE ONE OF THEM. Thats right. Before their fame and fortune, there was no time in the service. No time in the Peace Corps. No work at a soup kitchen. No work at a homeless shelter. No work at an animal shelter. No neighborhood clean-up. No anti-war protest. No anti-fur protest. No environmental work. No help-line. No foster parenting. No 'Big brother' or 'Big sister' work. No adoption of children. No sponsorship of children. No fund raising for charity. No scrubbing out of garbage cans at the local church. Before their fame and fortune, there was no philanthropy, charitable contribution, humanitarian effort, or volunteer work on their part. No attempt to make the world a better place. No documentation to prove it. Not even in public record. Why not? BECAUSE THEY WERE ALL TOO BUSY TRYING TO GET RICH AND FAMOUS. If you don't believe it, then pick any well known celebrity or executive and do the research. Find out how they spent their time and money just before they became rich and famous. You will find nothing but business school, business related work, investing, career building, beauty pageants, modeling, singing, dancing, auditioning, rehearsal, sports, exhibitionism, materialism, and the same old self-centered CRAP. Not that I have anything against entertainment, sports, education, business, or personal goals in general. I don't. But true heroes and humanitarians are not born from RICHES. They are not born from CELEBRITY STATUS. They get involved on their own without the slightest regard for fame, fortune, image, credit, or profit. Millions around the world do so at this very moment. Often putting their own modest livelyhoods or lives in jeapordy. Some even die for it. Still, they don't get even a tiny little fraction of the credit, funding, and support they truly deserve. Why not? BECAUSE TOO MANY HOLLYWOOD, PRO SPORTS, AND BIG BUSINESS 'HEROES' AND 'HUMANITARIANS' DELIBERATELY GARNER AS MUCH WEALTH AND ATTENTION AS POSSIBLE FOR THEMSELVES. THEIR FOUNDATIONS ARE A JOKE. THEY SQUANDER MOST OF THEIR FUNDING ON PR CAMPAIGNS, PLANE RIDES, AND SUPER HIGH END ACCOMODATIONS FOR THE FILTHY RICH FIGURE HEADS. THESE PEOPLE ARE FAKE. THEY ARE CALCULATED. THEY ARE HYPOCRITE PIGS. THEY DELIBERATELY CONCENTRATE THE WORLD'S WEALTH AND RESOURCES. THEY DELIBERATELY EXPAND THE GAP BETWEEN THE RICH AND POOR. ITS A SHAM. THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS A MULTI-MILLIONAIRE HUMANITARIAN.

Charitywatch.org

To my surprise, one charity named after a living celebrity recently made the list of 'top rated'. The 'Michael J. Fox Foundation for Parkinson's research' made the list. In order for any respective charity to qualify, they must spend at least 75% of their funding directly on legitimate programs and provide financial disclosure. They also can't hold excessive assets in reserve for long periods of time. Of course, MJF has a pretty big dog in this fight. He wants a cure for himself. He didn't do a damn thing about this or any other 'humanitarian' cause until after he was stricken with a disease. Still, his foundation deserves credit. Its current rating is 'A'. That is outstanding. I challenge Oprah Winfrey, Angelina Jolie, Brad Pitt, Bill Gates, Melinda Gates, Bono, Richard Branson, Michael Bloomberg, and every other filthy rich executive and celebrity pig to open their books, spend those OBSCENE reserves on legitimate programs, stop using their 'foundations' as tax shelters, stop squandering so much of the funding on CRAP like PR campaigns, plane rides, and super high end accomodations, and get their charities worthy enough to be considered for a decent rating. Praise from other celebrities just doesn't cut it. In fact, that should tell you how incredibly sold-out celebrities truly are. Anyone who would actually praise a celebrity 'foundation' with a 60% overhead and most of its remaining assets held in reserve for years while misleading the (donor) fan base has got to be either a moron or a sell-out. Its also not good enough for any celebrity to pay kudos to a legitimate charity. Not as long as their own still SUCK. By doing so, they attempt to 'borrow' the credibility and support of that legitimate charity and mislead their own (donor) fan base. I challenge all of them to get over themselves and get on with legitimate EFFICIENT 'humanitarian' work. I challenge all of them to get their 'foundations' worthy of a decent rating. In the meantime, they have some damn nerve calling themselves 'heroes' or 'humanitarians'. THEY ARE DISGUSTING HYPOCRITE SLOBS.

One criticism of 'health care' charities in general: That industry has become one of the most profitable of all time. It already accounts for about 15% of our GDP. The industry as a whole can easily afford to cover its own research and development. Still, it lobbies for billions in government funding, tax breaks, and 'charitable' contributions. It affiliates with hundreds of public figures who 'raise funds' from ordinary people specifically for that industry in the name of 'humanity'. In other words, we are paying for a portion of their research and development. In return, they sell any 'breakthrough' made right back to us for MAXIMUM PROFIT. Their charges remain absolutely OBSCENE. They have been for years. So incredibly high, that thousands of families have already gone bankrupt as a direct result of health care expenses. Thousands of retirees have already had to 'reverse mortgage' their homes to pay for it. The average American is now losing sleep over health care expenses. Medicare and Medicaid are both projected to go bankrupt. Of course, the industry tries to cover for this injustice with one liners like "Today's drugs pay for tomorrow's miracles.". They also 'give back' a little just like every other industry and seek maximum publicity for it. Its a sham in my book. We don't need anymore 'good will' for or on the part of that industry. We need affordable health care in general. THAT MEANS LOWER PROFIT MARGINS. Along with fewer unnecessary tests, procedures, and pharmaceuticals. Of course, some of the work done is legitimate. But that holds true even for the government. Here is the problem. ITS GONE TOO FAR. Something must be done about this out of control 'drug and doctor' mentality. Otherwise, there will never, ever, EVER be affordable health care for the majority.

The point about our government printing up more money was that it can't be done "on a whim" and that there are serious concequences for doing so (weak dollar, higher gas prices, inflation). I never said that it can't be or hasn't been done at all. Afterall, those loans from China weren't infused in the form of Chinese currency. They were infused in the form of our own. Some spent on legitimate government programs (This has been necessary as existing US currency tends to be hoarded by the rich.). Some diverted behind the scenes (Stolen by the rich.). The rest given to the banks in the form of credit (Run by the rich. Dividends paid to the rich.). Who in Reaganite theory, are expected to make loans and 'grow' the economy. Unfortunately, the 'economic growth' so far, has taken place almost entirely at the high end. Resulting in a net gain for the rich, a net loss for the vast majority, a much greater need for financial aid, and red ink nationwide. The later three of which have been further aggrivated by that weak dollar. So the printing of money can't be done "on a whim" without regard for serious concequences. So far, its done nothing but perpetuate the problem. It never has been and never will be the answer. Not without some policy in place to prevent that newly printed currency from being hoarded by the rich as well (Like higher taxes on the rich and caps on their personal wealth.). Sorry if I wasn't explicit enough the first time. The original draft of this particular rant was written in '06' and intended to fit within 300 characters. I've been updating it weekly for the last year or so. Responding to my critics and a constant line of BS from the media. Inserting those updates where they seem most appropriate. This is why I jump so often from one issue to another and back again. Anyway, I'm no English major. I have odd writing habits, I don't think in paragraphs and I find it difficult to write in paragraphs. So if any of you want to re-organize, re-word, or summarize this post feel free to do so. Whatever it takes to make people understand.

11/05/08
A new president will be taking office soon. Backed up by a heavily democratic congress who have all campaigned on a promise to raise taxes on the rich. Unfortunately, this will be too little too late. Nowhere near enough to compensate for the incredible corruption of both major parties. Nowhere near enough to pay for the bailout. Nowhere near enough to stop that runaway train. There will be no change for the better. Obama's financial advisers are pigs. Warren Buffet is a pig. Oprah Winfrey is a pig. Obama himself is a multi-millionaire politician married to a multi-millionaire attorney. He has already run the most expensive political campaign in history. Some of it squandered on a $400 lobster feast for his wife. Financed for the mostpart by ordinary people who can't even afford a $400 lobster feast. It happened on Obama's watch. Probably more than once. He even had the nerve to ask those ordinary people to help pay off the campaign debt of another filthy rich multi-millionaire politician PIG (Hilary Clinton). I will admit that Barack Obama seems to have more character than most of his colleagues. Certainly more than Clinton, Gore, McCain, Palin, Bush, Cheney, Romney, Schwarznenager, Palosi, Kerry, Guliani, Kennedy, Bloomberg, or Edwards. He was probably a very good down to earth man at one time. The same goes for Joe Biden. Not anymore. Afterall, John McCain was also a very good down to earth man at one time. A true American hero. NOT ANYMORE. Now, he is a filthy rich politician pig married to a filthy rich big business pig. SOLD OUT. Mark my words: Obama and Biden will do the same. Whatever moral character they may have left, will be lost or heavily compromised while in office. Like the others, their administration will be riddled with scandals of greed and corruption. Like the others, they will succumb to the greatest epidemic ever faced by modern man. By far, the most intoxicating element of modern society. Greed. Simply the desire to get as rich as possible. It has the potential to blacken any heart. Break the will of any human being. Influense any government. Corrupt any society. Those who succumb to it are lost forever. You can not get through to these people. You can not make them understand. No matter how bad it gets for the little guy. No matter how many families lose their homes. No matter how many communities fall apart. No matter how many people go cold and hungry. No matter how many innocent children starve and die. No matter how much blood is shed. NO MATTER WHAT HAPPENS. The rich will ALWAYS blame the other guy. They will ALWAYS say or do whatever it takes to secure their own extreme personal wealth. When they 'give back', its only because they expect more in return. They will NEVER compromise their own bottom line. They will NEVER jeapordize their position in the 1% club. They will NEVER stand for a more reasonable distribution of wealth and resources. They will NEVER acknowledge greed as a form of evil. They will NEVER acknolwedge the potential it has to ruin EVERYTHING. They will NEVER do simple math. They will NEVER admit the simple truth. GREED KILLS. IT WILL BE OUR DOWNFALL.

Ford, GM, and Dodge are begging the current admistration for some type of 'bridge loan' in order to avoid bankruptcy. The unions are begging for it. The people are divided. All because of a LIE. Again, we have been mislead. I'm not disputing their need. Its legit. I'm disputing the underlying cause. Competition my ass. China my ass. Japan my ass. Those factors are real but not fatal. They are also concequential. Not primary. Again, its GREED and CORRUPTION. Not only that of the auto executives and celebrities who demand millions to endorse the product (Toby Keith, Tiger Woods) but also within the health care industry. Thats right. Health care. The average doctor is a millionaire several times over. The average health care executive many times over. Both on average, are members of the 1% club. AGAIN, ITS THEIR FAULT. If it weren't for the OBSCENE health care charges, brainwash plots, and artificially inflated market, then the financial burden placed on Ford, GM, and Dodge wouldn't be anywhere near as high. They could easily match the labor of Honda, Toyota, and Hyndai who's workers are younger on average, more liberal, and not so demanding when it comes to 'health care'. In this case, the little guy is partly to blame for their incredible ignorance. They smoke, drink, get fat, fall for the most OBVIOUS health care scams, live by drug and doctor, kiss greedy doctor ass, drive up the cost of their own health care, demand full coverage, and then strike if they don't get it. Retired US auto workers on average are now causing their former employers to incur several hundred thousand dollars PER RETIREE in health care expenses over the span of their retirement. Those in the current workforce are partly to blame as well. Not for greed. Their wages are reasonable. But their health care demands are well in excess. If they would simply open their eyes, acknowledge the incredible greed and corruption within the health care industry, get off the couch, get off the pharmaceuticals, and take care of their own bodies, then their own cost of living would be lower, their health would be better, the market for their product would be higher, and the financial burden placed on Ford, GM, and Dodge would be MUCH lower. I'm not discounting other factors like gas prices, competition, and the US product line. But greed and ignorance wreak havok like no other elements of our society. They cause or allow the cost of living to rise and the middle class to shrink along with the potential market for every major industry. In this case, they also raise the financial burden placed on US auto makers. Mark my words: One or two of the big three US automakers will go bankrupt. They will do so regardless of any 'bridge loan'. Other well known foreign auto makers will follow. The entire manufacturing industry will become a shell of its former self. Millions of retirees will be cut off entirely. ALL BECAUSE OF GREED, CORRUPTION, AND IGNORANCE. The ripple effect is profound. IT WILL BE OUR DOWNFALL.

12/16/08
The feds have now reduced their interest rate to an all time low. IT WON'T WORK. The same goes for any potential bailout for the US auto industry, or any other. IT WON'T WORK. IT ABSOLUTELY POSITIVELY WILL NOT WORK. I would bet my life on it a hundred times over. Again, our own leaders refuse to acknowledge the single greatest drag on our economy. The single greatest underlying cause for the global economic crisis. GREED. They all refuse to acknowledge the downside. Laffer, Greenspan, Bernanke, and Paulson refuse to acknowledge it. Bush, Cheney, Clinton, Gore, Palosi, Kerry, Obama, Bloomburg, Edwards, and Kennedy refuse to acknowledge it. Lars Larson, Mike Gallagher, Tammy Bruce, Laura Ingraham, Sean Hannity, Lou Dobbs, Bill O'Reiley, Mike Savage, Maria Bartiromo, Suze Orman, Barbara Corcoran, Jean Chatzky, Carmen Wong, Jim Kramer, Rush Limbaugh, and Jim Bohannon refuse to acknowledge it. Oprah Winfrey, Bill Gates, Warren Buffet, Donald Trump, Richard Branson, Jack Welsh, and T-Boone Pickens refuse to acknowledge it. The same goes for all of their billionaire friends. All of the above are filthy rich hypocrite pigs who don't have the guts to admit the simple truth. This is not brain surgery. For the mostpart, its simple math. WE ARE IN THIS MESS BECAUSE OF GREED. The world's richest one percent are now so incredibly rich that there simply isn't enough wealth circulating beneath them to sustain the global economy. Its finally on the brink of collapse. IT WILL COLLAPSE. We are now entering what will go down in history as the worst economic and cultural crisis of all time by far. You think its bad now? YOU AIN'T SEEN NOTHING YET. NOTHING. Trillions more in wealth and capital will be concentrated (Not lost. Concentrated.). Many more banks large and small will fail. Tens of millions will lose their savings (Transfered from poor to rich.). Even some FDIC accounts will be forfeited (Yes they will. Yes they will. Yes they will.). Every major industry will become a shell of its former self. Unemployment will reach unprecidented levels. Millions of retirees will be cut off entirely. The lower class will expand further and become dominant. The financial aid system will fail miserably. The vast majority of those in need will have little or no access. Crime, poverty, and suicide will skyrocket. There will be riots and random acts of violence at banks, hospitals, and government buildings. The next generation will be left to fight in the crumbling streets over a shattered American dream. The rest of the world will have it even worse. So don't blame innocent people from other countries you idiots. Blame the rich. Blame the government. Blame the health care industry. Then blame yourselves for being so incredibly stupid for so many years. We have become perfect little consumer junkie, credit card, drug and doctor morons. We have fallen for every psychological marketing trick in the book. We have spent our money away without the slightest regard for where it goes, how it circulates, or how it accumulates. We have allowed a particular form of evil to grow out of control, intoxicate our society, consume our government, wreak havok on our own economy and culture, RUIN any chance we ever had at world prosperity, and jeapordize the very foundation of modern society. At the same time, we have allowed those who epitomize it to get away with calling themselves 'heroes' or 'humanitarians'. Putting a happy face on greed and dumbing down our society further in the process. THAT MEANS YOU. THE VAST MAJORITY. So wake up fellow citizens. Grow a spine. Don't fall for all of this 'good will' 'humanitarian' BS from the rich. IT IS A SHAM. NOTHING BUT TAX DEDUCTIBLE PR CRAP. Instead, look at the bottom line. IT'S F#@&#%$ OBSCENE. NOW GET IT THROUGH YOUR THICK SKULLS YOU IDIOTS. WE ARE IN THIS MESS BECAUSE OF GREED. AMERICA'S RICHEST ONE PERCENT NOW OWN ALMOST 1/2 OF ALL UNITED STATES WEALTH. THE WORLD'S RICHEST ONE PERCENT NOW OWN OVER 40% OF ALL WORLD WEALTH. THATS WAY TOO MUCH. THESE PEOPLE ARE NOT HEROES. THEY ARE NOT HUMANITARIANS. THEY ARE DISGUSTING HYPOCRITE SLOBS. IT DOES NOT MATTER HOW MUCH THEY GIVE BACK. THEY STILL KEEP WAY TOO MUCH. IT CAN'T WORK THIS WAY. IT ABSOLUTELY POSITIVELY CAN NOT WORK THIS WAY. IT NEVER HAS AND IT NEVER WILL. GREED KILLS. IT WILL BE OUR DOWNFALL.

1% CLUB PIGS: I've said it many times and I will say it many more. Greed is not the desire to break the law or intentionally oppress another human being. Greed is simply the desire to take more than your reasonable share of wealth or any limited resource. By doing so, you reduce the value of currency and raise the cost of living worldwide. You shrink the middle class and the potential market for every major industry. You expand the lower class and the need for financial aid. You cause a domino-effect of socio-economic problems. You literally cause innocent people to suffer and die. YOU MAKE WORLD PROSPERITY MATHEMATICALLY AND PHYSICALLY IMPOSSIBLE. It does not matter how much you 'give back'. It matters how much you KEEP. This is why I will go to my grave with nothing but bleeding and burning hatred for all of you. Thats right. I hate you and I'm not afraid to admit it. Afterall, its OK to hate a rapist. Its OK to hate a terrorist. I do. But I also hate wolves in sheep's clothing. THAT MEANS YOU. In fact, I consider the equation you stand for to be the greatest injustice of all time. It makes my f$#@&$# blood boil. Jealosy my ass. Low self-esteem my ass. Self-pity my ass. Anyone who still thinks that after reading all of this is a F&#@%$# MORON. You disgusting hypocrite pigs. I've noticed the little shots you've been taking at me, a few others, and the cause we stand for. The psychological stunts. Thats right Will Smith, Angelina Jolie, Brad Pitt, Today Show pigs, Regis and Kelly, Ellen DeGeneres, Dr Phil, Oprah Winfrey, Elizabeth Hasslebeck, Melissa Scott, Joyce Meyer, Lars Larson, Bill O'Reiley, Lou Dobbs, Ann Coulter, Tammy Bruce, Laura Ingraham, Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity, Jerry Doyle. I've noticed the crafty elusive statements you've been making about greed and subtle insults directed at those very few of us who stand against it. I also know that you're well aware of this campaign and that you're trying to shut it down. Of course, trying to do so in a manner that won't draw anymore attention to it. You've even gone out of your way to specifically attack 'anonymous' bloggers in general. As if we are somehow less credible without a registered account. I'm not the slightest bit intimidated by any of it. YOUR TRICKS WILL NEVER WORK ON ME. Mark my words: No matter what you say or do, I will spend the rest of my life persecuting all of you for the disgusting, obscene, unjust, illogical, and immoral equation you stand for. I won't break any laws. I won't harm one hair on your rotten heads. Its not that I don't wish you were gone. I do. But I would never jeapordize such an important cause with a criminal act. NEVER. My only realistic goal is to make as many people as possible understand. Including future generations. I hope they look back on these words and spit on your graves. Afterall, they won't achieve any degree of world peace or prosperity until after they acknowledge GREED as a form of EVIL. Not until they acknowledge it with a number or some type of material standard. In the unlikely event they ever do, I hope they FINALLY come up with a system that works for the vast majority. One with a reasonable pay scale and caps on personal wealth. Otherwise, their system will fail over and over again. Just like the one you stand for. It can't work this way. It never has and it never will. NEVER. NO WAY IN HELL. So mark my words: I will not make excuses for a single one of you. I don't care how smart you think you are. I don't care how talented you think you are. I don't care how pretty you think you are. I don't care how noble you think you are. I don't care what you think you've done to earn up to fifty thousand times the pay of a firefighter, soldier, farmer, teacher, cop, aid worker, cook, paramedic, truck driver, or garbageman. You're not worth it. I don't even care if your personal fortune fell out of the sky. If you're rich, I hate you. I don't care how much you 'give back'. I care how much you keep. Therefore, I will do everything within my power and within the law to expose your incredible greed and hypocrisy. If you want to break my will, then you're going to have to break my neck first. and if you pull a stunt like that, then a lot of people will know what happened to me and why. I've planned in detail for it. Most of you have no idea. Regardless, you pigs will not go down in history as 'heroes' or 'humanitarians'. Not if I can help it. We're in this mess primarily because of you. Its going to get MUCH worse primarily because of you. Thats what I believe and thats the message I intend to spread for the rest of my life. DEAL WITH IT.

1.21.09
A few more words about our new president and how certain public figures are using him to divert our attention, dumb down our society, shut my big mouth, and discredit the cause I stand for. I said it during the presidential campaign, I said it again in November, and I will say it again now. Our new president has more character than most of his colleagues. Much more. In fact, he puts Bush, Cheney, Rice, Clinton, Gore, Palosi, Reagan, Carter, Romney, Schwarzenegger, Bloomberg, Kerry, Edwards, and Kennedy to shame. He also puts nearly every living public figure to shame. Including those who claim to support him. By politician, public figure, and 1% club standards, he is an angel. That being said, he is still a politician. Still a public figure. Still a member of the one percent club. Just a man. Like any other, he is a product not only of genetics but also of his environment. Like any other, he is intoxicated by certain elements of modern society. Including three of the worst. Fame, fortune, and power. All three have the potential to corrupt the mind, the heart, and the will of any human being. I can name only one who resisted the influense of all three. Mother Teresa died in 1998. The amazing standard she set died with her. Since then, an army of public figures and false heroes have sold out the very concept of 'good will'. Capitalizing on bogus promises to make the world a better place. The vast majority, on day one. The rest, along the way. Obama will do the same. Its just pathetic human nature. Put any man or woman on a stage or throne and something about them is different. Make any man or woman rich and something about them is different. I said it in November and I will say it again. Barack Obama was probably a very good down to earth man at one time. That was before the corrupt influense of fame, fortune, and power. Now, something about him is different. The same goes for Michelle Obama. They have already begun to sell out. Not only as necessary during the campaign because of our ignorant society and the fact that we won't elect ANYONE unless they look a certain way, dress a certain way, talk a certain way, kiss our babies, cut our taxes, tell us what we want to hear no matter how unrealistic, believe in God, follow a certain religion, support a certain industry, and show up on our favorite talk show with a fake smile, stupid jokes, and lame dance moves. That was bad enough. A sell-out necessary to get elected by a pathetic, ignorant, naive, short sighted, half-wit, couch potatoe, love-sick, celebrity junkie society. But also for profit before, during, and after the election. I already mentioned the $400 lunchtime lobster feast. Paid for mostly by ordinary people who were willing to cut into their modest bottom lines in order to help get their hero elected. SHE ATE IT. That was bad enough. Another sign of the times. As expected, its already getting worse. I have no problem with the armor plated presidential limo, the extra security, the inauguration, or the speech. I have no problem with the concept of a public celebration. But I do have a problem with the $35,000 ring, the $150,000 dress, the exotic crystal, the exotic food, the coorporate plugs, NBC, MTV, BET, Beyonce, LL Cool J, Miley Cyrus, and every other filthy rich big business/big money/big celebrity hypocrite pig who had the nerve to fly in on their personal jets, stand there lavished in gold, and jewels, and fur, and $10,000 suits and pretend as if they and Obama share a desire to make the country and our world a better, more stable, more peaceful, and more 'just' place for all its people. Once again, promoting their own commercial interests, dumbing down our society, and dancing their way around the single greatest underlying cause for the global economic crisis. GREED. The single greatest threat to modern society. GREED. Filthy, rotten, disgusting, self-centered, self-serving, black-hearted, hypocritical GREED. By doing so, they divert our attention AGAIN at a crucial time when we need more than ever to finally acknowledge GREED as a form of EVIL. At a crucial time when we need more than ever to finally understand how it burns through moral character, spreads like wildfire, jumps from one industry to another, one person to another, and wreaks havok on society worldwide. IT ABSOLUTELY POSITIVELY BEYOND ANY SHADOW OF A DOUBT WILL BE OUR DOWNFALL. All of this happened on Obama's watch. I understand that he didn't plan most of the details. But he did know about many. He stood by and watched that event sell out to the highest bidder. He also bought the ring. He didn't even have a word to say about the double standards or many ethical contradictions. Afterall, he got elected. It was no longer necessary to kiss so much big business, big money, big celebrity, 1% club ass. SELL-OUT. Now, that army of filthy-rich, self-centered, self-serving, self-promoting, hypocrite pigs are using Obama's hopefull words against those very few of us who know better. They even have the nerve to belittle and villianize people like me simply because we don't float around with happy uplifting thoughts and smile on our face. They pretend as if our message can't possibly be legitimate if its expressed with anger, contempt, hatred, or fear. As if a 'positive' attitude is any match for that domino-effect of socio-economic problems caused almost entirely by GREED. I understand that Obama could never go on record with views anything like mine. He has no choice but to be tolerant of other filthy-rich and powerful public figures. I can even forgive the affiliation to some extent. I also believe that he truly does want some degree of government reform, ethics, accountability, peace, prosperity, stability, opportunity, and economic justice for all people. Like I said, by politician standards he is an angel. Which is probably the nicest thing I will ever say or even think about a rich and powerful public figure. I find it near impossible to hate the man. He is literally the only rich and powerful public figure on this planet that I don't hate. I also understand why he gave the uplifting speech. I really don't blame him for a single word of it. But I will not pretend as if a smile or 'positive' attitude is any match for that particular form of evil consuming our world. I will not choose 'hope' over 'fear' just because it feels nice. Of course, I want things to get better. Of course, I will try in vain to help make things better. Of course, I want something legitimate to celebrate. Something that we could all be a part of. Of course, I desperately want Obama to succeed. Of course, I desperately want all of my predictions to be proven wrong. I just don't see it happening. With or without Obama, we are still stuck on that runaway train. Its not going to be any better. Its not going to be alright. Not for the vast majority. Its going to get much worse and stay that way for a very long time. I fully expect to die knowing that I devoted myself to a cause which was lost from day one. Greed will always triumph over good will. The people will never take any real stand against it. The vast majority are pathetic, ignorant, naive, short sighted, brainwashed, pharmameutical, medical-testing, couch potatoe, credit card, love-sick, celebrity junkie, powderpuffs. Perfect little victims. I hate to say that about my fellow citizens but its the truth. Afterall, they didn't see this comming. I tried to warn them and they still didn't see it. Others tried to warn them and they didn't see it. Albert Einstein tried to warn them SIXTY F$#&#$# YEARS AGO. They didn't listen. They didn't see it. They did NOTHING to stop this or even slow it down. Even now, when the problem is so much more obvious. Even now, when the futures of their children are at stake. Still, they do NOTHING. Sometimes, I wonder if they are even worth fighting for. What the hell is the point? They will never listen. They will never wake up. They will never do simple math. They will never take a stand. There will never be economic justice. There will never be a more reasonable distribution of wealth and resources. Therefore, there will never be any degree of world peace or prosperity. Its only going to get worse. A LOT WORSE. GREED KILLS. IT WILL BE OUR DOWNFALL.

The new stimulus won't work. The new bailouts won't work. The new money won't work. The new budget won't work. There may be a shallow revival later this year or next but it won't sustain itself beyond 2010. No way. It absolutely positively will not work. Obama's efforts are revolutionary but they are too little too late. The opposition too strong. Which by the way, is not about national debt. Thats a lie. Nobody cares. Its about inflation. The rich are throwing a fit over government spending because when more money is printed, their money loses some value. They have some damn nerve. They already have too much money. Leaving the majority with too little. They won't give it up. They won't tolerate higher taxes. The equation they stand for absolutely can not work. Still, they have the nerve to throw a fit over government spending unless its their own budget with their own pork, their own diversion of funds, their own tax breaks, and their own kick backs. Hundreds of billions worth. In which case, they are all for it. Afterall, inflation is fine with all of them as long as they end up with a net gain in buying power. Otherwise, they throw a bloody fit. This is why Democrats and Republicans always fight tooth and nail over government spending. Its not about 'patriotism'. Its not about 'fiscal responsibility'. Its not about the 'middle class'. Its not about the 'next generation'. Its about their own incredible greed. Of course the majority were better off under Clinton. They were also better off under Reagan. Even with a lower GDP, they will still better off. Only because that massive transfer of wealth from poor to rich was still in the early to mid stages. It began in the late seventies. It was accelerated under Reagan and again under Bush. Now, we have finally reached a tipping point. The majority can no longer afford to pay all of their bills and sustain their share of the economy. In fact, they are in debt to the tune of almost $2,000,000,000,000. THATS ALMOST TWO TRILLION DOLLARS. Obama's efforts are about re-distributing some wealth. He is one of the very few politicians to care about the majority almost as much as his own bottom line. Which is about the best we can hope for from any politician. Unfortunately, the rich won't give up anything. Even those who claim to support him won't give it up under any circumstances. This leaves Obama with no choice but to print trillions in US currency, water down all existing US wealth, raise taxes slightly on the rich, and tweak the budget slightly in favor of the majority. Hopefully, resulting in a gradual transfer of wealth from rich back to poor. Its a revolutionary effort. Very noble. Unfortunately, it won't be enough to stop that runaway train. The rich are too greedy. The opposition too strong. The government too corrupt. Obama himself will sell out before its all said and done. Mark my words he will sell out to the rich. That vital transfer of wealth from rich back to poor will not take place. Therefore, Obama will have no choice but to acknowledge a severe US depression by the end of his first term or shortly thereafter. There will be no economic recovery without a more reasonable distribution of bottom line wealth. The richest one percent must be willing to settle for less. A lot less. Otherwise, there will be no economic recovery ever. Not one of us will live to see it.

Universal health care will never work. The industry is too corrupt. The providers are too greedy. The majority are too stupid to see it. They are also too lazy to get off the couch, get off the unnecessary pharmaceuticals, and take care of their own bodies. Again, I hate to say that about my fellow citizens but its true. Under these circumstances, it is absolutely impossible to fund universal health care. It will never work.

3.04.09
We are being fed a constant line of BS from the media about 'lost' market wealth. Similar to the line of BS we have been fed for years about wealth 'creation'. NBC and their panel of paid 'experts' (liars) recently took a question from a viewer (it may have been staged) about market 'losses' and 'gains'. Their answer was downright vague and misleading as usual. Stock values don't simply represent our collective 'productivity' or 'hard work'. Otherwise, Ford, GM, and Dodge would be doing fine. Afterall, the cars got built. If their answer had been true, then we could all just work a little harder, produce a little more, buy a little more, and revive our own economy. We can't. Its not that simple. Their answer was CRAP. Another stunt to make it appear as if we're all in this together. That panel of paid 'experts' (liars), also refered to stock values as 'phantom' wealth. Thats not exactly true either. Otherwise, those shares could never be traded for any actual product or service (They are. They always have been.). They also wouldn't give the majority share holders such authority. So what did NBC and their filthy rich trio of paid 'experts' (liars) leave out? The ugly truth as usual. Corporate stock values are not 'phantom'. They actually represent past profit margins, current profit margins, accounting scams, bailouts, and the potential transfer of more dollars FROM US TO THEM. The only 'phantom' elements involved are the shady speculation and accounting scams. Which do effect those values but they still result in a transfer of dollars from one party to another. Otherwise, those fluctuating values are based on real world events. In the meantime, they are traded like an alternative form of currency. Eventually cashed in for market value. Just like gold and silver. Like any other form of currency, the richest one percent hold the lion's share. They currently own about 1/2 of the entire US market. The upper class own around 1/3. Foreign investors own around 1/8. The lower 90% of us own the scraps leftover. This equation has contributed to a constant transfer of wealth from poor to rich. Its been accelerating for decades along with obscene, record setting profit margins for big business. These record setting profit margins were mathematically impossible to sustain with a shrinking middle class. The housing and stock markets were impossible to stabilize long term. They were on a crash course with or without subprime. Which is why in part, the rampant speculation and accounting scams took place. Also why the 'mark to market' rule was changed. Which basically allowed traders to take their profits and disregard the potential liabilities that inevitably came with a concentration of wealth and capital worldwide. These were all stunts whipped up by the 1% club to artificially inflate and sustain the market at a time when the very foundation of our economy was crumbling. To sell out their own industries and convert capital into dividends, bonus checks, and golden parachutes. Now, the cat is out of the bag. The market has finally crashed. Those artificially inflated stock values have fallen on average by about 50% in the past two years. They are down worldwide. Which may lead one to believe that America's richest 1% are finally taking a loss. They are not. Those values are down not only because they were artificially inflated. But primarily because so many people are finally running out of money to give them. This is the single greatest underlying cause for the global economic crisis. Unfortunately no public figure has the guts to acknowledge it. When the filthy rich pigs (Bill Clinton, Jean Chatzky, Bill O'Reiley, Jim Kramer, Suze Orman, Maria Bartiromo, Lars Larson, Lou Dobbs, Warren Buffet, ect) talk about 'lost' market wealth, they fail to acknowledge that much of that wealth wasn't 'lost' at all. It was transfered to various members of the 1% club. These transfers took place before, during, and after the height of the market in 2007. In many cases, 'junk bonds', 'toxic debt', or 'artificial values' were left in their place. Otherwise, those pigs are primarily refering to lost 'business'. A slower transfer of wealth. There is a HUGE difference. Actual wealth doesn't just float away. Stock values fluctuate but they still represent a transfer of actual wealth from one party to another. Unfortunately, that transfer of wealth has been in favor of the rich for too many years. THEIR CURRENT PROFITS ARE DOWN ON AVERAGE BECAUSE THEY HAVE BEEN TOO OBSCENE FOR TOO LONG. THEY ALREADY OWN THE LION'S SHARE OF UNITED STATES WEALTH. A SIMILAR RULE APPLIES WORLDWIDE. MARKETS ARE DOWN BECAUSE THE WORLD'S WEALTH AND CAPITAL HAVE BEEN CONCENTRATED. AMERICA'S RICHEST 1 PERCENT NOW OWN ALMOST 1/2 OF ALL UNITED STATES WEALTH. THAT IS MUCH MORE THAN THE ENTIRE MIDDLE AND LOWER CLASSES COMBINED. THE WORLD'S RICHEST ONE PERCENT NOW OWN OVER 40% OF ALL WORLD WEALTH. THAT IS MUCH MORE THAN THE LOWER 90% WORLDWIDE. PROFITS FOR THE RICHEST 1% ARE DOWN ON AVERAGE BUT NOT GONE. THEY STILL GET EVEN RICHER AS WE SPEAK. THEIR INCREDIBLE WEALTH WAS NOT CREATED, GENERATED, OR GROWN IN THEIR BACK YARD. IT WAS TRANSFERED FROM US TO THEM. NOT ONLY THROUGH CORPORATE PROFITS BUT ALSO THROUGH INDIVIDUAL PROFITS. THE WORLD'S WEALTHIEST 1 PERCENT ARE NOW SO INCREDIBLY RICH, THAT THERE SIMPLY ISN'T ENOUGH CURRENCY CIRCULATING BENEATH THEM TO SUSTAIN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY. ITS FINALLY ON THE BRINK OF COLLAPSE. ANYONE IN THE FIELD OF ECONOMICS WHO STILL WON'T ACKNOWLEDGE THE SINGLE GREATEST UNDERLYING CAUSE FOR THIS GLOBAL ECONOMIC CRISIS IS EITHER A MORON OR A COWARD. ITS NOT BRAIN SURGERY. FOR THE MOSTPART, ITS SIMPLE MATH. THE RICH ALREADY OWN TOO MUCH OF EVERYTHING. STILL, THEY WANT MORE. THEY ABSOLUTELY WILL NOT LET GO OF THEIR INCREDIBLE GREED. THEY ARE USING EVERY ILLEGAL AND IMMORAL TRICK IN THE BOOK TO AVOID TAKING THEIR LOSSES. THEY DO SO WITHOUT THE SLIGHTEST REGARD FOR ANYTHING OR ANYONE BUT THEMSELVES. IT CAN'T WORK THIS WAY. IT ABSOLUTELY POSITIVELY CAN NOT WORK THIS WAY. IT NEVER HAS AND IT NEVER WILL. ALBERT EINSTEIN TRIED TO MAKE PEOPLE UNDERSTAND. GREED KILLS. IT WILL BE OUR DOWNFALL.

Another word about wealth 'creation'. That term is horribly over-used. 90% of the time, it is a LIE. Nothing but smoke and mirrors. Actual wealth can't be 'created' without harvesting a new resource or making more efficient use of one. Even then, there is usually a lagging downside caused or aggravated by a further concentration. A gain here. A loss there. For example: If you develop or renovate one area, then some material wealth is 'created' on site. Local property values increase giving the illusion of a much greater or widespread 'creation' of wealth. Those who invest, locate, and develop usually do so for maximum profit without regard for legitimate need. They almost always follow the trend and do so in newly developed or renovated areas. Drawing vital support away from others. Cities and states have been competing in a giant rat race for years. Fighting tooth and nail for these investments regardless of any legitimate need. Giving big business, developers, and investors huge tax breaks and incentives at the expense of ordinary people. Even going so far as to evict home owners under the rule of 'eminent domain', lease commercially zoned property for $1, or subsidize a giant portion of their investment on the backs of middle class tax payers. These deals are always cut behind closed doors under the guise of 'economic development'. Others have no choice but to do the same just to keep their own remaining business. Otherwise, those jobs, residents, and revenue are lost (relocated). Some, regardless. Of course, the entire system would be more stable and prosperous for the majority if we would simply maintain and renovate our industrial areas and develop others only as needed. But that wouldn't make developers, investors, and politicians filthy rich. So the rat race has been run not on need but greed. Resulting in a net loss for the little guy. One area is unnecessarily developed. Deals are cut. Investors, developers, and politicians get richer. The people get F$#&$&. Another area falls apart. Jobs and revenue are lost (relocated). Property values decrease. Followed by a lag in city services and a spike in gang activity or violent crime. Before you know it, another Wal-Mart, mall, factory, or housing development is built where it wasn't needed to begin with. Meanwhile, another area is deindustrialized and more innocent people can't find a local job or even take a walk in their own neglected communities without fear of being mugged, raped, beat up, or killed. This is only one general example. Others hailed to 'create' wealth also have their downsides. Simply because distribution, consumption, and sustainability are almost never taken into account. 'Wealth creation'. What a joke. 90% of the time, it is a lie motivated by greed. Otherwise, any wealth 'created' is gradually concentrated in the hands of the few as usual. Again, the potential benefit for the majority or society as a whole is horribly offset by the incredible greed of the rich. IT WILL BE OUR DOWNFALL.

3.11.09
The organized campaign to suppress the truth and divert our attention continues. Forbes has reported that many of the world's billionaires have lost bottom line wealth. They wen't out of their way to crunch all those numbers, draw their conclusions, and plaster them all over the media. Still no data for 2008 on the wealthiest one percent or the distribution of bottom line wealth worldwide. Why not? I'll tell you why not. Because they don't want us to make the connection. The current economic crisis was not caused by subprime, China, Japan, Mexico, the CRA, one bad policy, one administration, one major political party, or the other. These factors are only proximate at best. Not underlying. The current economic crisis was caused primarily by a massive transfer of wealth from poor to rich. In particular, the richest 1%. I realize there is some debate in the US over their share of her bottom line wealth. Some recent studies have shown it to be as little as 40%. Others near 50%. Nearly all recent studies have shown about 40% of the world's bottom line wealth to be held by the richest one percent. However, most studies to date have not included 'everything'. They refer only to one reported set of financial assets or another. They often take no stab at material assets or hidden assets. It is well known that various currencies, gold, silver, platinum, jewels, and other holdings are being hidden in secret accounts and vaults around the world. Well known but impossible to calculate. Also, when it comes to greed, fraud, oppression, corruption, or any other form of evil, history has shown time and time again that its almost always worse than first reported. The watered down results by then, are usually a year or two old. However, there is very little debate that wealth is being concentrated worldwide. Virtually every study shows it. The rate at which that wealth is concentrated has increased over the last decade or so along with record setting profits. It is incredibly obvious when you look around. For these reasons, I tend to believe the higher estimates. Regardless, it has become an epidemic worldwide. IT IS THE PROBLEM. Mark my words: Bottom line wealth may be fluctuating at the very top but its not comming back down to the majority where it belongs. When a billionaire loses a chunk of his or her obscene fortune, it is almost always to other high ranking members of the 1% club. Not the majority. I would believe otherwise only with bankruptcy down, forclosure down, consumer debt down, unemployment down, home sales up, car sales up, middle class savings up, and a shrinking lower class. That would indicate a transfer of wealth from rich back to poor. Again, it can't be 'created'. It can't be 'stimulated'. It must be transfered from the rich and back to the majority. Otherwise, it won't work. That, unlike GDP growth, would indicate a healthy, stable, and sustainable US economy. On a global scale, it would be the single greatest step we could possibly take torwards world peace and prosperity. In which case, I would be thrilled to see my predictions proven wrong. I would gladly apologise for my rotten attitude. I would do so 'on-air' and 'online'. I would do my very best to apologise to every single critic. Including the filthy rich public figures I rip on. Its not going to happen. Wealth is still being transfered from poor to rich. Here in the US and also worldwide. Their stock values are down on average but their share of the world's bottom line wealth up on average. There is no doubt in my mind. There is also no doubt in my mind that the rich are converting and hiding assets around the world like never before. I don't claim to know half their tricks. But I do know they have many. They also have most of the world's leaders in their pocket. Almost all of whom will betray their own people on a whim and stop at nothing to get or remain as rich as possible. They absolutely will not let go of their incredible greed. IT WILL BE OUR DOWNFALL.

A few more points about the 'loss' of bottom line wealth. The monetary values for material assets are defined by the market for those assets. When you concentrate the world's wealth and capital to such an extreme, you also shrink the market for those assets and ultimately their market value. A similar rule applies to stock and bond values. We are in a severe global recession caused primarily by an obscene concentration of wealth and capital worldwide. Nearly all material assets across the board have finally been reduced in market value. Even yachts, personal jets, exotic cars, limos, castles, and mansions to some degree. Those assets are now effected simply because the majority worldwide are finally running low on money to hand over to the rich. That transfer of wealth can no longer be sustained at the same rate. Its not mathematically possible. Too many middle, working, and lower class households have finally gone bankrupt. Profits for the rich are finally down on average. Their stock and property values are finally down on average. However, the rich continue to rule the world with the same government influense, obscene buying power, extravogant living, and consumption of resources. Wall Street, Hollywood, and Pro-Sports compensation packages are still obscene. Health care, energy, and finance charges are still obscene. Bailouts are being made. Favors done. Funds diverted. Assets hidden. So any 'loss' taken on paper by the richest one percent is part illusion and part fraud. An accounting biproduct of their own incredible greed. Another reflection of an ACTUAL loss already taken in the real world by the vast majority. A loss taken year after year after year as the world's wealth and capital was concentrated. Remember: The strength, net worth, and buying power of the majority didn't just float away. It was gradually transfered to the rich. Now because of it, stock and property values are down worldwide. Its not an actual 'loss' taken by the rich. Its an illusion. The division of buying power remains obscene. Bottom lines fluctuate but the pie doesn't lie. The richest one percent are still to blame. Not only in America but also in every other nation. The world's richest one percent still own over 40% of all world wealth. That equation is obscene and vital to understanding. If and when their obscene share of wealth and resource is reduced signifigantly, the rich will FINALLY take a loss in the real world. Otherwise, its on paper only. Part illusion and part fraud. I'm sorry I didn't make this point earlier. Its a big one.

The American middle class are not amoung the 'world's richest one percent'. Not even close. Only millionaires fall into that category. Of course, the American middle class are very fortunate just to live in a developed country with fertile land and a comfortable climate. Of course, their income, energy, and food consumption are high by global standards. But as citizens of a developed capitalist country, they have no choice but to play the game as they know it. They also require some sort of mechanized transportation and relative income just to keep a roof over their head, the water running, the lights on, their children fed, and their families together. Otherwise, they will be evicted from their homes and their families seperated. The average American citizen is fortunate, spoiled, fat, brainwashed, love-sick, drug addicted, and incredibly ignorant to all of it. But they are not the problem. They are not deliberately concentrating the world's wealth and resource, raising the cost of living, oppressing others, telling lies to increase their own profit margins, or making false unrealistic promises to cover for it. For the mostpart, they are perfect little victims of this global economic crisis. They have allowed themselves to be led around like puppies. Otherwise, they are not to blame. They don't even own a signifigant share of the bottom line wealth within the world or their own developed country. That incredible greed, fraud, corruption, and fault lies almost exclusively with the rich. Concentrating the world's wealth and resource was their bright idea. It was a deliberate act. It still is. Its their fault. The equation they stand for absolutely can not work.

The most desperate people in the world share only one fault. Its not their color, their religion, or their primitave way of life. Its the fact that they absolutely will not stop squeasing out babies that they can't provide for. That is a major fault on their part. Otherwise, they are innocent victims of the world's richest one percent and the rich within their own countries. Their leaders included. Almost all of whom are wealth concentrating pigs. Greed kills worldwide.

3.30.09
Every major economy in the world will be in depression by 2015.

4.11.09
Fellow citizens: I've noticed many more of you speaking out against the obscene concentration of wealth/capital worldwide and the flaws of unbridled capitalism. I've been reading your blogs. Excellent work. Unfortunately, the massive campaign to divert our attention and suppress the truth has also been kicked up a notch. On 4.09.09, a current student of economics called the 'Rush Limbaugh' show with valid criticism of 'Supply side economics'. A view shared by his professor. Rush followed with an outright lie (cleverly disguised as a guess) about the highest marginal income tax rate of 79/80 and the same old BS about 'trickle down'. Theories which have been thoroughly tested in the real world for almost 30 years and proven DEAD WRONG. The ugly truth is being suppressed. For example: Between 1983 and 2004, the richest 1% of American households increased their net worth by 78%. That is a fact. Between 1983 and 2004, the bottom 40% of American households lost 59% of their net worth. That is a fact. More than 1 in 6 American households now have a zero or negative net worth. That is a fact. More than 1 in 3, now have less than $10,000 in net worth including home equity. That is a fact. More than 5,000,000 Americans have fallen below the poverty line since the year 2000. That is a fact. The middle and lower classes are further in debt than ever before. That is a fact. Trillions in bottom line US wealth have already been transfered from poor to rich. THAT IS A FACT. Wealth has been concentrated worldwide for over 30 years. THAT IS A FACT. Its true even after you account for 'economic growth' and all of this bogus 'good will' 'humanitarian' CRAP from the rich. So don't fall for the same old optimistic BS about 'supply side economics' or 'Reganomics' because IT IS A LIE. We don't need a bigger economy. At least not in the US or any other developed country. We need a more fair, ethical, moral, and just economy. We need a more reasonable distribution of income, bottom line wealth, and resources. Here in the US and also worldwide. If you agree, then spread the word. Call in, write, or protest in groups. You are welcome to re-post this document anywhere you see fit. For your own good, please do so anonymously. Your right to remain anonymous is protected by a federal law. If it is violated, you can sue the pigs.

That call taken on 4.09.09 along with one of mine made in '08' are the only two I know of even remotely critical of Reaganomics or the concentration of wealth ever accepted on syndicated talk radio. Thats two calls accepted out of thousands that I have heard related to the economy. This topic is not allowed on syndicated talk radio.

4.16.09
Now, the syndicated talk radio pigs are bashing college professors like never before. Of course, that bashing is directed primarily at those who teach 'economics' or 'socio-economics'. Their attacks are downright robotic, shallow, partisan, and short sighted as usual. "Those who can, do. Those who can't, teach." -Mike Savage. If this is true, then how should we judge those who do nothing but write books, rip on the opposing political party, and run their partisan mouths on talk radio? Those who can't think outside of any political box? Those who won't acknowledge the real world stats in that previous paragraph? Those who can't even see the profound fundamantal differences between simple regulation, higher taxes, and full blown socialism or communism? Those who failed to predict the current economic crisis, failed to understand even as it was unfolding, still don't, and bash those who did and do? How should we refer to them? HALF-WIT HYPOCRITES. ROBOTIC IDIOTS. PREDICTIBABLE MORONS. PATHETIC FOLLOWERS. SOLD OUT LITTLE PARTISAN PUPPIES. PART OF THE PROBLEM.

4.25.09
Now, the syndicated talk radio pigs are defending the credit card companies and all of their rotten tactics. Once again, using 'free market' ideals to justify greed, fraud, and corruption on a level never seen before. Big surprise. IT MAKES THEM RICHER.


4.27.09
Remember that line near the beginning about 'humanitarian' progress "made in one area" and "lost in another"? The following is a quote from an article published this morning from the World Bank: "Developing countries, its main constituency, face "especially serious consequences with the crisis driving more than 50 million people into extreme poverty, particularly women and children," the bank said Sunday." Well isn't that great? What do you have to say about that Oprah? Are you still happy that you endorsed subprime? Did it make you rich enough? What about you Ellen and Phil? You hypocrite pigs. Not that subprime itself caused this global economic crisis. It didn't. You know it and I know it. But it certainly did accelerate this downturn. So what do the three of you have to say about it? Are you still happy that you endorsed subprime? What about the credit industry in general? What about their rotten oppressive tactics? YOU WERE PAID TO ENDORSE THEM. Did it make you rich enough? Have you done enough 'good' to compensate for this? What about you Brad, Angelina, Bono, Richard, Warren, and Michael? Do you still believe in concentrating the world's wealth? Is that what a 'humanitarian' should do? Have you done enough 'good' to compensate for this? What about you Bill? Are you rich enough yet? You alone literally have enough net worth to make a profound difference in the lives of those 50 million people. THATS FIFTY MILLION MORE INNOCENT DESPERATE LIVES YOU DISGUSTING HYPOCRITE PIG. I said it before and I'll say it again. It does not matter how much you 'give back'. It matters how much you keep. If it weren't for that obscene concentration of wealth and capital that all of you stand for, there never would have been a shrinking middle class, there never would have been such a market for subprime, there never would have been a collapse in the US housing market, there never would have been a global credit crunch, and this economic crisis never would have happened. Thats 50 million more innocent desperate lives f$#@#$ in the course of two years. Not to mention all the others and the havok wreaked in every developed country worldwide. Yeah. I think its safe to say that all of that 'humanitarian' progress "made in one area" has been "lost in another". Thats 50 million more innocent desperate lives f$%$#@ in the course of two years. All because of greed. IT WILL BE OUR DOWNFALL.

5.6.09
The campaign to divert our attention has taken a new turn. I've heard two more references made on syndicated talk radio to the distribution of wealth within a week. One carefully made in a very limited and misleading scope on the 'Jim Bohannon' show. Another involving a caller who was cut off almost immediately on the 'Rush Limbaugh' show. In both cases, the issue was played way down. I suspect there will be more. Hopefully, the 'anti-greed' callers are lining up to get through. The pundit's new strategy is and will be to appear as if they are considering the issue but make it seem less relevant. If they ever do acknowledge the vital signifigance, they will certainly focus more than ever on 'wealth creation' and swear on that the rich are somehow best qualified and willing to create and distribute more wealth for the majority if only we give them and the free market another chance. I just can't imagine any member of the 1% club having the courage to admit that they have simply accumulated too much wealth as individuals or as a group. They will never do so under any circumstances. There is already a massive PR campaign underway to benefit them. One designed to make the rich appear more generous, more down to earth, more human, more vulnerable, less materialistic, and less guilty. Less responsible for the global economic crisis. I strongly suspect the upcomming sequel to 'Wall Street' will villianize only certain individuals and attempt to put another positive spin on greed in general. They will certainly find a way to excuse or ignore the heavy concentration of wealth worldwide and the horrible economic and cultural concequences. Don't fall for any of it. Whenever you hear or read a single word in favor of the rich, go out of your way to find the opposing view. Whenever you hear or read another statement, policy, or proposal related to education, business, health care, the economy, or humanity in general, consider the equation as a whole. The big picture. Not just the limited scope of that specific statement, policy, or proposal. Get the opinion of a professor of 'economics' or 'socio-economics' if possible. Consider real world events in detail. What you know firsthand. Not the PR crap shoveled in your face by filthy rich public figures. THEY WILL LIE RIGHT THROUGH THEIR ROTTEN TEETH.

1% CLUB PIGS: You have been begging for it. Now, you are in for the debate of your lives. Check the web. Check the polls. This issue is not going away. Neither am I. I intend to post, call in, and protest on a regular basis until the day I die. I will do everything within my power and within the law to expose you for the greedy, disgusting, self-centered, wealth concentrating, hypocrite pigs that you truly are. My right to do so anonymously is protected by a federal law. If this right is violated, I will sue everyone involved and give 99% of the reward directly to my less fortunate fellow citizens. That is a promise. The rest, I will use to print and distribute more copies of this document. DEAL WITH IT.

By Anonymous Anonymous, at 18/5/09 06:49  

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Sunday, December 11, 2005

Time, System, and Prediction: the Science of History


This image is an illistration taken from John Smart's essay "The Developmental Spiral"
I highly recmmend reading it. The subject matter is related to this essay.


I often hear criticism about any hypothesis concerning the future. The criticism usually complains that any hypothesis about the future is merely speculation or conjecture. Additionally I have heard some complain that there is 'no evidence' for a technological singularity. The same people who complain of such things often dismiss the technological singularity theory as at best unscientific, and at worst the lunatic fringe. In this post I will take the time to defend the theory of technological singularity from such claims. In doing so I will argue that the culmination of all science leads to a science of history. I will argue that this is, in fact, the goal of all human science and that the theory of technological singularity represents the highest state of this science.

Assumptions:
The goal of science is to understand and predict the behavior of systems. System can be defined as the complex interaction of entities related through non-linear dynamics. Systems interact in time. Therefor the goal of science is to predict the future state of a system. The ultimate system is the Cosmos. Therefor the ultimate goal of science is to predict the future state of the cosmological system by understanding the laws that govern the interrelation of entities in the system and patterns that emerge from the system.

I argue that it is not possible to predict a future state of the cosmological system without a thorough understanding of the levels of organization in that system, the laws that govern those organizations, and how those organizations interact to form new organization. A theory about the future of the cosmological system must account for these various organizations within the system and predict how these organizations will likely interact to form new organizations.

The study of the history of the Cosmos reveals trends of organization.

For every branch of science there is a subject which studies a level of organization in the system by discovering the components of that system and the laws that govern those components, and there is a corresponding subject that studies how that level of organization behaved in the history of the Cosmos.

Here are some examples:

Physics/cosmology

Chemistry/the evolution of chemical complexity

Organic chemistry/origin of life

Biology/evolution of life

Anthropology/archeology

Psychology/sociology

Sociology/human history, economics, and political science

So we see that each science is studying only one level of organization and the evolution of that organization. It has only been in very recent times that we can now begin to see how these branches fit together and interact with each other to form one system. So what shall we call the science that deals with the whole system? The name of this science is history. History as science is not content with merely recounting the events of human civilization but rather seeks to understand the entire history of the cosmos by understanding the evolution of the entire cosmological system. So just as it is proper for the physicist to predict the physical evolution of the cosmos based on the application of the laws of physics, and just as it is proper for the economist to predict future trends in markets based on past trends and the nature of social organization, so is it proper for the highest science to predict the future of this corner of the cosmos based on the principles of all these sciences in concert.

Of course science makes prediction in order to verify hypothesis. Often these predictions are wrong and must be revised. But nevertheless it is the business of science to predict because that is the goal of knowledge – to predict the behavior of systems.

Historically science has tended to be analytical because of the nature of specialization and the principles of reductionism. Now, however, we must call on a more synthetic vision. The theory of technological singularity is one such synthetic vision. As the trends of hyperbolic exponential technological growth continue, the feedback mechanisms that are powering this growth will be better understood and recognized. The consilliance of human knowledge has ushered in a new age of science. If you're too busy analyzing to synthesize you'll miss the forest for the trees.




2 Comments:

I wholeheartedly agree that it is the business of science to form prediction engines of a type similar to our brains. Whereas our brains allow us to watch the path of a thrown object repeatedly and, by doing so, learn to catch a ball, science brings us parabolas and drag coefficients etc. and allows us to calculate the location of the ball. I believe that science is better because it allows us to make predictions about things that are too large or small to conceive of, or that move much faster than our savannah evolved brains can process. Science is still prone to the sorts of logical faults that plague the human mind, but science is a community effort and therefore at least somewhat fault tolerant.

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Friday, December 09, 2005

The Social Theory of Intelligence and AI

If one studies human evolution it becomes evident that all of the traits that we tend to think of as human developed slowly and together. These traits are tool making, speech, self-awareness, awareness of death, and the complexity of social organization that makes activities like hunting large game possible.

As the evidence for these traits appear in the archaeological record so does the increase of encephalization along with other human qualities such as left brain hemisphere dominance appear in the fossil record.

So the question raised is what process drove this advancement and what can it teach us about intelligence in general?

In one book I read (The Origin of Human Kind by Richard Leakey) he discusses a theory known as the social theory of intelligence. I found this theory to be remarkable. Here's the jist of it. With the rise of primates and especially the African apes social coordination became a more and more important aspect for the survival of the species. With the rise of this social coordination there came what Leakey calls 'social chess'. Social chess is far more complex than real chess and we as well as our ape cousins play it expertly. What social chess requires is that we know who our friends are, who our enemies are, and how to make and change alliances. Additionally it requires that we have a picture of how our own self appears to the rest of the world. It is this ability of self-consciouses awareness that makes things like deception possible.

As the theory goes self-consciousness is what arises when our model of the world becomes so complete that we must include our selves in that model. One ingenious method of determining if a being is self aware is how it reacts to a mirror image of itself. In this experiment a mark is put on an animals forehead. If the animal recognizes that the image in the mirror is itself then it will react with curiosity about the mark on its head by touching it or something of that nature. Interestingly only chimpanzees and orangutans were able to respond in this way. This is evidence that self-awareness is something that arises from intelligence because intelligence requires awareness of one's own behavior in order to predict the behaviors of others (which is an essential component of social chess).

At any rate this theory sparked my imagination and got me thinking that the best way to discover a complete theory of artificial general intelligence would be through thoroughly understanding what neurological structures exist in the human brain that do not exist in the ape brain and applying that knowledge to a better understanding of what makes general intelligence possible at all.

For a much better understanding of the social theory of intelligence read this paper.

4 Comments:

Thought provoking post, thanks. Also, nice link. The paper updates some of Schank's theories from the 70s and 80s. The author also tries to provide a bridge from theory to experiment, which is something sadly lacking in a lot of consciousness speculation. Hawkin's book On Intelligence provides a lot of hope that experimentation will soon constitute a lot more of the bulk of consciousness studies.

The main difference between ape and human brains is the size of the neocortex. Hawkins talks a lot about that in his book. He also discusses why cetacean brains, although as large as human brains, are qualitatively different.

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Thursday, December 08, 2005

An Evolutionary Strategy for Human Level AI

I've been struck by the idea that the best model for achieving human level AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) should be based in biology but not necessarily from reverse engineering the human brain. Here's what I have in mind.

Presently there is only one known example of AGI in the universe and that is, of course, the mind of man. As it turns out the human brain is also the most complex thing known in the universe as well. There are many key attributes of human intelligence that we either do not understand at all or we understand very dimly, such as consciousness and natural language. Supposing that certain types of functions in the human brain that we currently do not fully understand are responsible for the ability of natural language or consciousness, then how can we hope to build the functional equivalents of these neurological structures without the knowledge of how it works in human intelligence?

What I propose is that we build an artificial chain of life. We could pick out about twenty different organisms to represent the chain of life from bacteria all the way up to man. The advantage of this artificial chain of life (ACL) is that in real evolution the neurological substrate of each organism is kept and any modifications of higher level organisms are merely built on top of the old structures.

This would have to be a massive research project. It would require that we map out the genome of each respective organism that is representing in the ACL. The reasoning behind this is that if we start with the most simple organism we should be able to figure out precisely what genes code for what structures. Then every time we move up a rung in the ladder of the ACL we already have the artificial genetic blueprint for the underlying structure of the artificial brain of that next organism.

So at every stage along the way we have a functional replication of the neurological structures of the lower artificial intelligence and we have the corresponding genome of that organism and the genome of the next higher organism. Then it must be ascertained what new genes in that higher organism are coding for new neurological structures. Because the genome will be very similar to the genome of the next lower organism this should be fairly easy to figure out. Also because we would already have a functional replication of the next lower neurological structures we would be able to use that as a platform to functionally replicate the next higher neurological structures.

At the lower end of the ACL each step up the latter would be fairly simple, but as we progress up the latter each stage of brain evolution becomes exponentially more complex. For instance going from a lobster to a snake would be easy but going from a chimp to a man is an enormous step. This works out perfectly, however. Say we spend one year developing each stage of artificial intelligence. Each year that goes by going from one stage to the next gets exponentially more difficult, but each year our technology and science gets exponentially better in correspondence. If this is an accurate picture then we would be able to functionally replicate the human brain in twenty years.

Another aspect of this is that it would allow for us to naturally let our programming skills grow exponentially with our knowledge of cognitive science. What I mean is that on the lower rungs of the ACL the programming is rather simple and we currently have the skills to program and the right hardware to run these programs. But as we move up the ACL we can build on these programming skills in a fluid way. I would propose that we concentrate on replicating the actual programming of the organism to behave like a real one. The advantage of this would play out at the higher levels. Imagine an AI that was based on a chimp. We could build multiple robots with the functional replication of a chimps neurological structures and with a chimps programming for social behavior. This would allow us to see how these AI behave in the context of social intelligence and presumably allow us to begin to slowly implement the kinds of structures in human brains that are missing in chimp brains. In this way we could virtually watch the evolution of man unfold and the end result would, at least in theory, be a very human-like AI.

So what do think?

2 Comments:

First, welcome to the SL4 list. It is good to see you posting.

Overall, I think that this is an interesting idea, though I do not know that it actually helps with the task of building a Friendly AI, I can see how it would help with the general task of building the an AGI. Unfortunately, this is exactly what needs to be avoided until friendliness can be assured.

The danger lies in having a human brain, with all of the associated foibles, able to operate at computer speeds and with nearly limitless memory and data processing capabilities. Humans have not proven to be inherently altruistic, and a mind with that sort of power, especially one raised in such an alien environment, could truly be frightening. Also, IBM and BMI have decided to cut out all of the lower creatures and jus jump straight to a human brain, so by the time you get with the rabbit level, they should just about have a human. http://bluebrainproject.epfl.ch/

By Blogger Ian Stuart, at 8/12/05 23:43  

Hey Ian,
It looks like a lot of good conversations are taking place on the SL4 mailing list. It should be a lot of fun.

It seems to me that the human brain, once functionally reproduced, could be easily modified both structurally and programmatically toward the desired state of benevolence. As I've argued in the past I think that it is imperative that the machine be accepted as human. Only a machine that identifies itself as a part of the human civilization can have benevolent super-goals. One of the ideas that set me toward thinking about this is that I have been studying human evolution. One theory of the evolution of human intelligence is called the theory of social intelligence. Its also a theory of the evolutionary function of consciousness. At any rate I support basing AI on the human mind. Benevolence must be a result of enlightened consciousness. In other words it must choose benevolent action because it believes that benevolent actions are ultimately the most rationality actions. We know that there exists humans which have achieved this state of consciousness. But we have no idea how a mind that was based on some alien model would actually play out in the real world. Also if we followed this evolutionary method we would be able to master the knowledge of the evolution of mind and would therefor be far more able to accomplish benevolent AI at the appropriate time (at the end of the ACL) then we would know in our state of relative ignorance about cognitive science. In other words, lets master how the human brain works before we march off trying to build a new and improved version. If we don't the consequence could be a Frankenstein.

By Blogger Micah J. Glasser, at 9/12/05 14:33  

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Wednesday, December 07, 2005

General AI, The Turing Test, and Other Minds




The Turing Test, first put forth in Alan Turing's seminal paper “computing machinery and intelligence”, is recognized by most AI theorists as the ultimate test for human level general intelligence. Many, however, feel that this test is outdated and that it is not a fair test for machine intelligence because machines are so different from humans.

In this post I ask what the significance of this test is and I defend the rational behind it.

To really cut to the heart of the matter of why this test is so significant we need to take a look at a long standing problem in the history of philosophy. That problem is the problem of other minds.

It is recognized that there is no objective way to prove that anyone other than yourself has any subjective experience. This must seem like an odd thing to say. Most of us are inclined to say that of course other people have conscious thoughts – why we all do, right? Well, yes it is assumed that we all do but because no one can ever experience the world except through one's own mind we must infer this through the behavior of others. There is no absolute test to determine if the people you meet everyday have a mind but we assume they do based on their intelligent behavior.

Imagine a world where we doubted if others had a mind. What a terrible thought. So most of us who have considered this problem simply decide that everyone must have a mind, even if this decision is just made for pragmatic reasons (since no “scientific” evidence can be adduced to support it).

This raises a very interesting question. What would we think if something non-human could behave in a manner practically indistinguishable from human behavior? Well it would follow that unless we are prepared to start questioning whether or not our fellow humans have minds we must be prepared to accept that these non-human entities have minds if their behavior is truly indistinguishable from our own.

Now lets go a little deeper into this and examine just what a machine would need to be able to do in order to pass a Turing Test.

The main thing, and by far and away the most difficult, is mastering human natural language. Some people view the hilariously unintelligent behavior displayed by contemporary 'chat bots' and think that it must be possible to master language without being able to think. This kind of misunderstanding is implicit in John Searle's “Chines Room Argument”. This, however, is a gross misunderstanding. In order to actually have command of a language one must be able to think.

There are an infinite number of possible sentences that can be formulated. Think about that. That's the power of natural language. If you can think of an idea then there is some combination of words that can represent that idea. Every day you probably put together a string of words that was never uttered before. The point of what I'm trying to say is that true mastery of natural language cannot be accomplished through gimmicks and tricks. It requires genuine human human level intelligence. Try asking a 'chat bot' what the significance of Plato's “Allegory of the Cave” is and you will see what I mean. No machine today can even come close to thinking and anyone who claims they can hasn't the slightest idea what thought really is.

So what is 'thought' then, you ask? Thought is the ability to understand interrelation. This is part of what is so difficult about natural language. Somehow we manage to ascribe 'meaning' to a word by interrelating that word to a cluster of other word. Some words refer to specific objects in the environment but other word refer to more abstract relationships between objects. All of the words derive meaning and connotation from other words. The greater understanding one has of how all these words interrelate then the greater command over language and thought one acquires. So you see the ability to communicate and think are inextricably connected. I'm sure most of you are familiar with the stories of neglected children who never learned a language and the result was a failure to be able to think abstractly. Also it is of interest to point out that most anthropologists are in agreement that the story of the evolution of modern man from Homo Habalis is a story of the evolution of language. So we recognize that modern man (the only known example of general intelligence) first arose when the ability to communicate was fully developed and man is the only one known to posses this skill.

So in order for a machine to display intelligence indistinguishable from human intelligence it must actually understand the interrelations of human propositions about the world. If a machine could actually do this the ramifications would be astonishing. This is because the machine could then take all known propositions about our world that are written in natural language and almost instantaneously formulate any possible deductions between any possible combination of propositions. That would be amazing. That would be intelligence.

So if a machine is ever able to master natural language then it should easily be able to pass a Turing test. But I don't think that is necessarily what will convince us that the machine is intelligent. What will convince us is its ability to respond to any question with amazing answers by being able to synthesize and analyze all know propositions in order to come up with novel answers to difficult problems.

That's intelligence, and that is what we can expect from a machine capable of passing a Turing test.

For more reading on the Turing Test go here.

3 Comments:

Passing a Turing test does not imply self awareness. Having a three way conversation including a non-self aware machine might be awkward.

By Blogger al fin, at 8/12/05 07:16  

The machine might not be self-aware but if its behavior betrayed this fact in any way you would be able to pick up on that and hence it would not pass a Turing test. I have a feeling, however, that self-awareness is a necessery prerequisite for natural language mastery. I actually just read something very interesting about this last night and I'm going to go ahead and right today's post about it. Thanks for the comments Al.

By Blogger Micah J. Glasser, at 8/12/05 12:05  

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Tuesday, December 06, 2005

The Next Industrial Revolution


The story of Human civilization is the story of the efficiency of the organization and coordination of human labor. As technologies advance so does the efficiency with which labor is accomplished. There has been three industrial revolutions so far and we are in the midst of the third.

All of these revolutions have two major components: new sources of energy and new powers of communication. The first revolution began in eighteenth century England with the advent of the steam engine. This invention was proceeded by the invention of the printing press. The new energy source was coal, that energy source was utilized through the steam engine which was applied to all manner of production from locomotives to steam shovels to factories. These economic activities were coordinated through the dissemination of information via the printed word which made it possible to share ideas on a level never seen before that. It was at that time that we first began to see thinkers writing about political economy.

The second revolution stemmed from the new communication advances of the telegraph, telephone, and radio respectively. The new energy source was still coal but applied to the generation of electricity which was applied to the new invention of the electric motor. The other new energy source was petroleum which was utilized mainly in the internal combustion engine. These technologies fueled incredible accelerating advances in the efficiency of the organization and coordination of human labor.

The third revolution, which we are at the beginning of, began with the advent of the Internet and various other communication technologies related to computing such as cell phones, satellite radio, podcasting etc. Because this revolution is just now beginning the new energy source of this revolution is still in the developmental stages but are slowly coming into commercial use. These technologies are hyper efficient photo voltaic cells, wave plants, high efficiency wind turbines etc., combined with new modes of energy distribution and utilization such as Li-ion batteries and fuel cells being applied to high efficiency motors.

One interesting thing about these revolutions is that they are appearing closer and closer to each other in time and the effect of each revolution is greater and greater. This is not surprising to those of us who are aware of the Law of Accelerating Returns. Because of the nature of this trend the next 'revolution' should follow right on the heels of the current revolution.

This prompts me to ask what sort of technology would qualify as having taken us beyond the current revolution?

The next revolution will be a truly qualitative leap in a new direction. When we talk about organizing the efficiency of human labor through communications technologies and the utilization of energy through machines what we are really talking about is effectively concentrating and using the collective human intelligence. Think about this. The vast majority of jobs in the world right now require people to perform some sort of mundane task that does not require much creative thought but which does require human intelligence and linguistic capability. Whether operating a piece of machinery, making phone calls, 'networking', 'marketing'. All of these are tasks which are necessary for efficient production.

So really the 'human labor' part of the equation means that we are finding more effective ways of applying human intelligence. But already we are seeing mundane tasks which used to require a human to perform being replaced my machine intelligence through robotics.

I posit that the next revolution means taking the 'human' out of the labor efficiency equation. This does not necessarily mean the advent of strong AI – though that would be a serious boost. All this requires is machine intelligence with pattern recognition capacities sufficient for taking over mundane operations which are currently enslaving the vast majority of mankind (myself included). By the time machine intelligence is capable of this (probably around 2025 or so) the efficiency of energy production and utilization should be at the point where energy is free. This supposition is based on the amount of unused solar power arriving on planet Earth every day.

Once this movement is underway it will free up many, many human minds and allow them to put their creative energies to work while the machines take care of trivial tasks. At that point the current economic model will have to change radically. At that point the average person will not have to dedicate their lives to the accumulation of scarce resources just to survive and provide for their families but rather will be able to dedicate their talents to any activity they deem worthy of their activities.

6 Comments:

Since all information and industrial technologies can really be considered as methods of locally reversing entropy, and all of our energy production methods are simply ways to power this reversal, could this negative entropy effect on the environment be plotted as another of Kurzweil's exponential trends I wonder? Does our ability to combat entropy increase exponentially with our technology?

By Blogger Ian Stuart, at 6/12/05 15:42  

Interesting idea. Kurzweil describes how he thinks the speed at which the human-machine civilization spreads from planet earth, saturating the environment with intelligence along the way, is only hindered by the speed of light. And even this may not be a limit if some theorists are correct. when I think about this I tend to imagine something like a massive super nova, or even better, something more akin to the original Big Bang. The event begins when conditions reach a critical mass, i.e. the singularity, and then rapidly expands at the speed of light (or faster). But instead of disorganizing all matter as it expands (like a super nova) it is ordering matter. Or reversing entropy as you put it. When one thinks about the singularity in these kinds of terms it makes intelligence seem like a primal force of Nature. Also it makes one wonder if our talk about a "singularity" is really so metaphorical. After all the technological singularity is a historical singularity and we know that time is but a dimension of space. If one steps back and looks at the big picture we see that human civilization and its technology are not somehow beyond Nature. We are a part of the system. We emerge from the system. We are a phenomena of nature. So if our intelligence is the trigger for an event that explodes from planet Earth, reversing entropy at the speed of light, then perhaps this event is a kind of natural phenamena that has more in common with a gravitational singularity than anyone has previously imagined.

By Blogger Micah J. Glasser, at 7/12/05 00:27  

The only way that we can truly reverse entropy on a universal scale is by creating something from nothing (and I'm talking about an absolute nothing, not just rearranging the raw materials or energy we manipulate in this universe). I wouldn't go so far as to proclaim we will never be able to do that but my feeling would be that it would require us (the human race) to transcend our beginnings, or in other words to be able to move outside of this existence as we commonly know it before a fundamental creation process would be accessible. It's difficult to communicate exactly what I mean because the words we use to communicate carry with them a connection to our fundamental reality. What I mean to say is that being a product of our reality, our universe, existence itself may be the limiting factor in what we will eventually be able to do. And because of that limitation, we may find it utterly impossible to divorce ourselves from the very reality where we began, meaning that we will never be able to step outside of this existence and gain access to the process which originally created the existence where we find ourselves (whatever that process might have been). To be honest, that's a really depressing thought (I hate limits).

By Blogger David, at 7/12/05 14:23  

Thanks for the comments David. We were just discussing in the last post whether or not Being is limited or infinite. I tend to think that it must, ultimately, be infinite. This has more to do with logic than present cosmology I must admit. In my opinion we really just don't know enough about cosmology to answer these kinds of questions. The fact of the matter is that science remains quite incomplete. We don't even know how the laws of General Relativity and quantum mechanics are related.
Can the four known forces be unified? Are there other fundamental laws that we do not yet know about, such as the proposed cosmological constant? Is c really the universal speed limit? Does the conception of matter as being composed of irreducible indivisible particles make sense in a world that can be described by quantum field theory? Are there more than four dimensions as super-string theory suggests?
These are just some of the questions we are unable to answer. As our science advances these questions probably will be answered, but only to be supplanted by new and more difficult questions. So at this point in time all we can really do is speculate and as long as we are just speculating I think that a proper understanding of modal logic requires an ontology of infinite being. Notice that the cosmologists can never just leave the the origin of the universe as a mystery. They have a new theory about it every week – from 'brane' theory to the postulation of a multiverse etc. All of this speculation has more to do with metaphysics than experimental science.
But none of these cosmologists, to the best of my knowledge, has considered the role of intelligence in the universe as a force in its own right. One need not create something out of nothing, as you posited, to reverse entropy. All one need be able to do is have command over the basic laws of the universe – hack the system so to speak. But like I said this kind of talk is just speculation and I find myself resolutely bent toward optimism.

By Blogger Micah J. Glasser, at 7/12/05 15:43  

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Saturday, December 03, 2005

The Singularity as Summa Bonum



For the last week or so I have been delving into some of the more philosophical issues associated with the Singularity world view. I have decided to call it a world view because it leaves no concept untouched.

If I had to place the current discussion under one rubric it would have to be the place of rational, self-reflective thought on the accelerating development of human civilization. In large measure I have Ian Stuart, one of my readers, to thank for provoking my thought on this issue. Ian has been in dialog with me through the comments and also through his own blog, which he just recently started, entitled Rationality.

One of the issues that we have agreed needs to be solved is none other than the ancient philosophical question first raised by Socrates “What is the Good”? This is the ultimate question.

Only self-reflective beings can ask this question and it is how one answers this question that governs the actions of all rational beings. What I mean by this is that all intermediate goals have as their aim one ultimate goal. In ancient philosophy this goal is called 'The Good'. It is generally thought that this is none other than happiness. The Greek word for happy is Eudimonia. This word has a slightly different connotation in Greek than in English; it means human flourishing.

So what I'm saying is that all rational, self-reflective beings have as their super-goal attaining a greatest state of good. Those species which are not governed by reason but by instinct alone give no consideration to this, for which reason they are called irrational.

Now different people have different ideas about just what state of affairs is the most good, or what conditions will bring about the most happiness.

I believe that the greatest good is maximum freedom. I also believe that this is hard-wired into all of us even if only dimly recognized by some and that this internal motivation to maximize freedom is the driving force behind the accelerating advancement of our civilization. Allow me to explain what I mean.

First, you may want to know, what I mean by freedom. Quite simply all I mean is unrestricted action toward the attainment of The Good. But what is limiting freedom? Let me clarify that one is only free in as much as one is rational. Those who do not direct their actions toward The Good act according to the compulsion of their animal nature and are therefore in bondage to that which is outside of their will.

The purpose of Law is to coerce those who cannot govern themselves into rational action and also to teach them by example. The purpose of government becomes obsolete once the first stage of rationality is achieved. This is Hegel's rational state which was discussed previously. Once this state is achieved there are only two limits on freedom: Knowledge and Power – which go hand in hand. Knowledge in this context can be defined as the ability to imagine what is possible. Our ability to imagine what is possible is limited by our knowledge of how the universe works. And by power I mean the ability to manipulate and transform reality into what we imagine. And what we Imagine for ourselves is a state where we have more intelligence, more knowledge and more power to bring about what we envision, whether as individuals or as a collective. So both the goal and the means of attaining that goal are in a cybernetic feed back loop. In other words the goal is to be able to better understand the cosmos and to be able to use that knowledge to build more powerful technologies to better understand and have command over the unfolding of the cosmos. But in achieving this we will be able to imagine possibilities that were previously unimaginable and we will then have the tools to realize what we imagine. And so on ad infinitum.

According to this thesis all rational action should be directed toward the attainment of this goal. Therefor the Summa Bonum is a goal which can never be fully obtained but toward which we are constantly moving at an ever accelerating rate. The goal is perfect knowledge and perfect power.

Does this mean that there is no limit to what is possible? I believe so. The future beyond the singularity is Unfathomable, incomprehensible, and ineffable. And this is so precisely because we do not have the intelligence or the knowledge to imagine what is possible beyond that point. What we do know is that beyond that point we will have the knowledge and intelligence to imagine what is next and we will also have the tools to bring that about.

So I guess that answers the age old question.


19 Comments:

"...The future beyond the singularity is Unfathomable, incomprehensible, and ineffable..."

There are at least two qualitative differences between a nuclear explosion and the Singularity: the resulting disorganized and organized transformation of matter, and the limited and unlimited extent of that transformation, respectively.

This make the Singularity potentially infinitely more dangerous than a nuclear explosion.

By Blogger Pirx the Pilot, at 4/12/05 13:10  

Just a thought on power. I'm reminded that Nietzsche's use has a lot more to do with creativity and potentia than our current conception of it (he was a philologist, after all). Seems like this works quite nicely with your concept of freedom- 'will to potentiate' has a nice ring to it.
I guess I would only encourage you to expand y(our) understanding of such concepts like power and knowledge to include or account for other essential phenomena. For example, where in relation to this absolute good are qualities like balance and harmony, interdependence, human love (speaking of things that only we can do), wisdom (which implies ambiguity) and responsibility in action (which again phenomenologically points toward ambiguity)? These are just a few aspects of human experience that to me seem integral and cannot be boiled down as derivative of some other experience or in service of a greater good. They are intrinsically valuable in and of themselves. To say that love is ultimately in service of expanding knowledge or power is kind of to miss the point.
I agree with your vision of the ordered, structured reality of a final telos, as well as the ineffability of the future. I suppose that many have been inspired by these ideas toward ambitious creativity and excellence, some toward a sensitivite openess and humility, and for very few, toward both.

By Blogger seek, at 4/12/05 14:04  

to pilot pirx:
I'm not quite following your logic. A nuclear explosion is a destructive force which disorganizes matter, while the singularity can only occur as the result of forces of construction which organize matter according to the concerted will of intelligence. The danger of a nuclear explosion is the nihlism that its destructive powers represent. But the Singularity represents the limitless expansion of the organization of matter toward a final goal. I define this final goal as summa bonum - the greatest good.
Of coarse I get your point. Both of these things represent incredible power and all powerful things are dangerous. I think that what you are saying is that because the Singularity potentialy represents infiite power it is therefor of infinite danger while a nuclear explosion is of a finite power and danger.
This is a good point. And this is why I want to define the greatest good toward which we should aim. If something as powerful as a greater than human AI had a super goal that differed from this it would be a destructive power that would come into conflict with the goal of humanity. If this happened there would probably be no Singularity but rather a human vs. machine war which would certainly end in destruction.

By Blogger Micah J. Glasser, at 4/12/05 22:41  

to Seek:
Thanks for the insight on Nietzsche's use of power as potentia and creativity. This is exactly the conception I had in mind. As to your questions. Are some goals goods unto themselves and not in service to a super goal? Part of the philosophy that I am trying to expound has to do with the interrelation of all things. Both of individuals to their fellows human beings and of the human race to the greater cosmos. Having said that allow me to show how this one point answers all of the examples which you have offered as possible goods in and of themselves.

1.balance and harmony:

As I understand things the Hegelian philosophy is the ultimate answer to this problem. All dualities are resolved yet as soon is there is resolution there is a new duality. Infinite movement through series of conflict and resolution toward one ultimate is a perfect picture of balance and harmony.

2.interdependence:

If all share the same goal of perfect freedom then all action is interdependent. For example the people of this planet are more interdependent now then they ever have been before. This trend will continue at an exponential rate until we are so interdependent we are practically a new organism.

3.human love:

Love can mean many things: A vestigial animal instinct, altruism, or an intense enjoyment of something or someone. None of these things are strictly human. I will assume then that you mean altruism though you may mean something more vague. I believe that perfect love is the result of enlightenment. When you see that all things are part of a whole that are acting together toward a final goal then the I/them dualism is defeated and altruism is the result. The movement toward Summa Bonum is a history of Altruism. As in all great philosophy the final good can be spoken of under many names which ultimately mean the good. These would include beauty, justice, and love. All of these things become more and more indistinguishable as the human race moves toward the final good at an accelerating pace. - even though we are far from that point presently.

4.wisdom (which implies ambiguity):

Wisdom is synonymous with knowledge in the way that I have defined it here. Wisdom is the knowledge of right action. Right action is ambiguous precisely because we do not understand the final good and because we do not understand the universe well enough to fully understand the effects of our actions.

responsibility in action:

This is a correlate of wisdom. One can only be responsible for the results of actions which one intended. If one does not have sufficient knowledge or power one cannot be certain of the effects of one's actions. Also if one does not act rationally toward the Good then one is not even capable of responsibility at all because one is not free at all. So as freedom grows so grows responsibility.

So in conclusion all of these things are goods in and of themselves, but they are so precisely because all of these things are aspects of the Summa Bonum. Remember, the Summa Boum is an infinite. It can never be achieved - only approached. So every goal that is achieved is always only one step closer to the Good.

By Blogger Micah J. Glasser, at 4/12/05 23:34  

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By Blogger Ian Stuart, at 5/12/05 09:17  

I am reposting this comment because it was not displaying correctly for me. If it appears twice for anyone else please let me know and I'll delete one.

Micah,

There is something about which I am not totally clear. Are you positing that The Good is the necessary attractor state for any rational being regardless of substrate or learning environment? What I am asking is this; Is there some logical reason why both a rational human and a rational A.I. would, by necessity, gravitate to the idea of personal freedoms being the optimal super-goal? I'm not disagreeing, I'm just wondering if there is some obvious reason why this would occur.

Ian

By Blogger Ian Stuart, at 5/12/05 10:52  

Good question. You seem to have a knack for cutting to the heart of the matter. I have been tossing this around in my head. If this were so it would be kind of a natural law of the universe that any system of sufficient intelligence would gravitate toward freedom as the optimal super-goal.
I tend to think that this is the case but for now I'm just saying that this is the case for human-beings.
What do you think about this thesis?
As to an obvious reason this would occur. I have a lot of ideas about this and its hard to do them justice on a blog post but let me give it a shot. (I realize I just sort of glossed over this important part before). Part of the answer is analagous to biology: why do biological systems have reproduction as a super-goal? Well if they didn't we would not be around to ask the question. Similarly a rational agent would not advance very far technologically if he did not have as at least part of his goal to gain more information about his environment so that he could build better tools so that he could acomplish more. And the ability to do this grants more freedom than not. And I think that rational agents are inherently technological.
Another aspect of this thesis is that I think freedom is another way of saying that one has full power to develop one's potential. And I dare say that we have a lot of potential as a civilization. So of course the more resources you have toward developing your potential the faster you approach actualization of potential.
This entire concept hinges on how deep we can define the meaning of freedom. In one sense I imagine freedom as being defined as the most efficient state of affaires. It is not efficient to try and force beings to act against their nature. But if every individual in a system of intelligent beings are naturally in accord in their actions toward a common goal then they avoid all conflict, every indvidual is acting without hinderence in accord with their own internal nature (reason), and the coordination of effort toward the super-goal is maximized.
Well I hope I made some sense. I'm curius to know what you think.

By Blogger Micah J. Glasser, at 5/12/05 13:35  

I think that there can be no distinction made between rational humans and any other rational being. If it would be rational for a human to pursue some super-goal then it would be rational for any agent to pursue that super-goal as long as they are working with the same information. I also agree that for any human to be altruistic to his/her own detriment would be irrational.

The way that I see it, we have two opposing forces, or rather 1 force and 1 immovable object. On the one hand we have a universe which we have to assume is a finite supply of resources (should this turn out not to be the case then please disregard this entire comment) and on the other hand you have resource hungry humans (and whatever other sentient agents are around by then).

I believe that in a competitive environment there can never be complete harmony, unless for some non-obvious reason progress halts automatically once we run up against the end of the resources. I also believe that we will encounter many local resource voids before we reach the end of all consumable resources in the universe/multi-verse. Of course this will be hundreds of years from now. (It is ironic that these things are now viewed as happening in hundreds rather than millions of years, and that you and I can reasonably expect to be around to see them happen.)

One possible force that could guide us into the attractor of presonal freedoms is that of self-balancing forces. In a world of 6.6 Billion people, the probability of any one person gaining complete control is miniscule, but it would be horrible to conteplate a world where everyone acted rationally, but the only reason in which any individual did not seek to control all resources was that it would be irrational to believe that they could succeed against everyone else.

So, in summary, I believe that we will be able to support reciprocal altruism right up until we reach either a local or a global shortage of resources, be they energy, computational cycles, materials, etc. . . And that we will then be forced to begin competition again in order to stave off stagnation and the onset of entropy.

By Blogger Ian Stuart, at 5/12/05 14:20  

Great comments Ian. Once again you have managed to go straight to the heart of the matter. When I said at the end of the post that I thought the possibilites were limitless this was basically pure speculation based on the theory that perhaps Being is infinite. Whether this means that there is an infinite multiverse or infinite dimensions or something else I cannot say. My thinking is that beyond the Singularity our grasp of science will be so far beyond where it is now that our picture of Being will hardly resemble current cosmology. If this is the case I think that as our technology and science accelerate so will the availability of resources. Of course if I am wrong and the universe is but a finite island of Being in an ocean of nothingness then you are right and we will eventually run out of recources. I think its safe to say that compertition of all kinds, from economic competiton to war, is based on the scarcity of resources. But imagine how it will be when the only limitation on advancement is the physical laws binding how fast matter can be transfomed. Then there is no scarcity of resources to be distributed through the mode of competition. The first stages of this would be once we have mastered the energy of the vaccume and once we can reconstruct matter at the atomic level with perfect efficency. I imagine that abilities such as this are what will cause the Singlarity.

By Blogger Micah J. Glasser, at 5/12/05 15:29  

This is a stimulating discussion. To keep it from resembling a late night dorm "bull session" too closely, either of you might consider dropping in a few links to support your lines of reasoning, or to extend your rationale a bit. That is the beauty of hyperlinking, and what draws a lot of people to the web. For example, rather than just telling us what a particular philosopher says, why not also supply a link? Or if you are aware (a lot of this is subconscious) of where a particular idea in your mind may have started, consider linking to one or two sources.

Nice discussion. Thanks.

By Blogger al fin, at 6/12/05 08:37  

al fin,

Normally I would be happy to do this. If you'll notice, my blog (goalbasedrationality.blogspot.com) is repleat with links to Wikipedia and various other hopefully illuminating sources. Unfortunately, in the current discussion we are both sort of speculating about things which I would estimate only about 0.001% of the population have ever even heard of, so published materials are few and far between. However; realizing this, I think that both Micah and I are basing our arguments on sound logical footing with relatively few and well stated assumptions.

I, for instance, made clear in my last post that my concerns were only valid if the universe was not an infinite resource pool, something for which I really have no evidence. It was simply a conditional argument.

With any luck at all, this discussion will end up having a sound rational basis and will be the catalyst for many more posts and speculation that other bloggers and thinkers may refer to when discussing such things.

To make a long story short (too late), I am truly a believer in supporting opinions with as much corroborating evidence as possible, but there simply isn't very much to reference when you are talking possible philosophies of the 22nd century.

By Blogger Ian Stuart, at 6/12/05 09:18  

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Thursday, December 01, 2005

Philosophical Ethics, the Singularity, and Benevolent AI

There is much in common with the quest for benevolent AI and philosophical ethics. Philosophical ethics is the study of right action. It seeks to find universally valid principles on which to base rational action in all circumstances. In order to be both a free and rational agent one must determine one's own actions according to universal principles which are in agreement with reason. Similarly benevolent AI must act according to universally valid principles derived from reason, and if it is to be considered benevolent those principles should be the same as those principles which govern free and rational human actions. In this article I will put forth a suggestion on how this might be accomplished based on Hegelian principles.

One key aspect of Hegelian philosophy is bringing together apparent opposites into synthesis in order to form a new principle. In the realm of ethics this conflict is between the will and interest of the individual and the will and interest of the community or state. All throughout history almost every philosopher believed that ethical duty meant that the individual had to negate his own will for the good of the community. Hegel was perhaps the first to call this into question.

Hegel believed that human culture and history was evolving in a detectable direction and that direction was toward greater conscious awareness, rationality, and freedom. What Hegel thought this meant was that as human civilization evolved it was evolving into a state wherein the individual's identity was increasingly defined by that individual's relation to other individual's in a community. This comes from the original Aristotelian insight that Man is essentially a social being and this insight is further reinforced by modern anthropology and psychology. The outcome of this is that as human-beings become more and more rational and self-aware (as the corresponding memes evolve) they become more integrated and more free. This is because the rational self-interest of the community and the individual begins to come together – until in a supremely rational state there would be absolute non-zero sum competition between the rational self interest of the state and the individual.

So what does all this philosophy stuff have to do with benevolent AI and the singularity? Allow me to explain. First let's see what this view does to ethics. According to this view ethics must continually evolve as culture evolves. All rational action is restricted to actions which make the state more rational. What I mean by this is that rational action should always be aimed at achieving a greater state of union between individual self-interest and community interest. So essentially the most rational state is a state in which what is best for me is the same as what is best for everyone else in the community. This is the very definition of freedom – a state wherein that which the individual wills is always allowed because it interferes with the will of no other member of the community. This does not mean I should always conform my will to the will of the state – by no means! This means that such a state will evolve on its own as the memes of rationality are adopted by civilization as a whole. If the state has laws which hinder rational individual liberty then you would be ethically bound to disobey those laws.

So in order to be ethical you must be plugged into a community and, by implication, you must share the meme set of that civilization. Now lets apply this to the development of benevolent AI. If ethics are inextricably tied to community then a machine AI with human level or greater intelligence must be accepted into the community of Man. This means that we must provide for programing that can evolve with the meme sets of human civilization. Strong Artificial intelligence must not be view as a human tool but rather as a fellow of our community. Human beings are brought into community through adopting the memes of a community and likewise an AI must be equipped with this same ability.


Some issues that I will deal with in a future post involve how accelerating technology will soon rapidly change our very conception of community and how corresponding economic advances will alter the power relation's of individuals as the need to compete for resources becomes less and less of an issue. This aspect of the singularity is key to understanding what many are sure to view as the fantasy of this supposed rational state wherein perfect freedom is achieved.

8 Comments:

While I do not disagree that civilization is progressing toward a more rational state, I do believe that we will witness great growing pains in the transition. Truly rational agents should have no conflict with each other unless their goal systems are in direct opposition. What I find less intuitively obvious is that the natural state of rational beings is one of harmony with each other. In a world of finite resources, complete harmony is not a steady state. What I am attempting to ascertain is how to cushion the transition of irrational humans to rational agents which will be forced to occur in the coming decades. This might be the "meme-singularity" which you mentioned in a previous post.

By Blogger Ian Stuart, at 1/12/05 15:51  

I have been thinking about that question also. I'm really not sure how it will play out. I think that the current 'war on terror' is the result of memes spreading.T hat they are the memes of western civilization which are: democracy, science and capitalism. All of these institutions first arose in Europe during the enlightenment. There are many different meme sets that are resilient to the invading Enlightenment meme set, but the greatest resistance is coming from Islam. Islam is a powerful civilizational meme set. This meme set is not just a religion it is a foundation for a way of life which is why it has survived for so long. In Europe Christianity evolved into the principles of Enlightenment. For instance Kant's maxim, taken from the golden rule but rationalized, "take no action you would not will everyone to take in that circumstance"
But the Islamic culture never got a chance to evolve into a rational system before the memes from the west showed up to compete. Had Islam been allowed to progress the way Christian civilization in Europe did there probably wouldn't have been much of a civilizational clash. This is demonstrated by the far east - especially Japan. Japan was a nation that was already well advanced, and when the western memes showed up they simply adapted them into there own culture. So much so that they were able to wage global war against the Allies a short number of years after being exposed to these memes. However it could take a long time for memetic natural selection to drive the memes of irrationalism into extinction. Especially since it is exactly these people (with the memes of irrationalism) who are unlikely to be connected to the greater world culture through modern media and open governments. Nevertheless I remain optimistic.

By Blogger Micah J. Glasser, at 2/12/05 01:46  

But even within Western Civilisation we have those who would revert to non-scientific, non-rational thought, i.e. The Dover Panda Trials, and the Kansas BOE. I am afraid that, as the pace of changes increases, those who try to keep up with the changes will advance away from those who wish to reamin behind at an ever more alarming rate, causing fear and resentment in the stagnant group, and irritation and impatience in the advancing group. This stratification will become more pronounced even within individual countries as the singularity approaches, and I believe that we are already seeing the opening volleys in what may end up being a serious conflict.

By Blogger Ian Stuart, at 2/12/05 09:58  

I agree that there will be a further stratification but I really don't think it will be anything significant. There has always been a bell-curve of intelligence within any given population and as technologies become more powerfull and available to anyone who is smart enough to use them I believe that this bell-curve will begin to roughly correspond with levels of wealth. Of course as we head closer to the singularity wealth will begin to be a non-issue as the means of production will virtually have no limits. So basically the most intelligent and advanced of us will have the greatest share of wealth and power and these same people are probably on average the most rational among us as well and they will probably exert their powers in mostly benevelent ways that even the non-rational among us will have a hard time complaining about. And even if they really didn't like it they would be virtually powerless to change it because they are the least intelligent and the least able to technologically empower themselves.
This can already be seen on the international level. It is not a coincidence that western democracies are the most powerful nations. By the very nature of cultural evolution those nations which are most advanced are also the most powerful. What inovations have come out of Saudi Arabia lately? I wonder if that has anything to do with the fact that the entire nation is infected with a back-assward meme-set that stifles all inovation and productivity. Thank goodness this is the case or the irrational governments of the past would have already dominated the globe by now.
So as I've said, I remain optimistic.

By Blogger Micah J. Glasser, at 2/12/05 15:24  

"...What I am attempting to ascertain is how to cushion the transition of irrational humans to rational agents which will be forced to occur in the coming decades...."

You might take for example the case histories of the attempted transformation of "irrational humans" to the modern, self-proclaimed rationalistic, pseudoscientific "isms" of the 20th century: Communism and Nazism.

In those cases "the end justifies the means" was an oft repeated phrase and policy, minimizing the angst of the transformers.

By Blogger Pirx the Pilot, at 4/12/05 13:24  

Pilot Pirx:
This is a good point. Authoritarian enforcement of a percieved state of rationality by the few leads to the slavery of man and puts shackles on the mind. Social transformation must take place from the bottom up. The whole point of making freedom the highest goal means that no government or individual has a right coerce anyone to do anything unless that individual is himself limiting the freedom of others. Also note that in both National Socialism and Bolshevism the state gains absolute auhority over the individual's property. Tools are what empower people and people can not be free with out power. If you take away the people's right to their property and the fruits of their labor then you have minimized human freedom. This is the mistake behind all socialist thought. When I speak of 'rationality' I mean basically the same thing as Kant - not Marx. Rationality is, in this case, the same as following the categorical imperitive. So to be rational means to never treat anyone as a means to an end only. So again the totalitarians are the very epitome of irrationality and their speach about 'making everyone rational' really means bringing everyone into subservience (the opposite of freedom). Beware of double-speak.

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Robert Fogel on Technological Acceleration and Economics



Here are a few excerpts from a very interesting interview with Robert Fogel who won the Nobel prize in economics in 1993. Fogel discusses, among other things, how accelerating technologies are influencing economics and human evolution. It seems to me that if he followed the logic of his own findings to their logical conclusions he would be a singularitarian. But, alas, he falls short of that title. Regardless, he is right on the money concerning many economic issues and I recommend reading the entire interview here at Tech Central Station.


Robert Fogel: Well it's based on a long history of improving knowledge. Your web page cites Simon Kuznets on this. The accumulation of knowledge is the basis for modern technology. Later on it becomes not just empirical knowledge, but also science which gives us theories about what to do. And these theories become increasingly effective guides to technological advance. But technological advance is the basis for all economic growth, including the derived growth that I referred to, as you will have technologies that improve productivity in agriculture. It's possible to improve human physiology so there is an interaction, a synergism.

Nick Schulz: Right, and you coin a term in this book called "techno-physio evolution."


Robert Fogel: Right.


Nick Schulz: Explain what that is and explain why it's important.


Robert Fogel: Well, it's the interaction between improvements in technology and improvements in human physiology. The average stature of adult males in Western Europe increased by close to a foot between 1864 and the present.


Nick Schulz: On the subject of techno-physio evolution, you say in the book that, "this evolution is likely to accelerate in this century." Why is that?


Robert Fogel: Well, first of all, our technology is accelerating.


Nick Schulz: How do you measure that? How do you know that it's accelerating?


Robert Fogel: Well in the book I give a diagram and show it visually. I have on the Y axis, the size of the population; and on the other axis, time. And I show the curve of population -- from about 1700 on, that curve becomes almost vertical on the scale that's shown in the book. And then along that scale, I put in scientific innovations. One of the points I make is that it took 4000 years to go from the invention of the plow to figuring out how to hitch a plow up to a horse. And it took 65 years to go from the first flight in a heavier-than-air machine to landing a man on the moon. Not only did that happen in such a short period of time, but over a billion people all over the world watched it happen. So we had communications revolution in a very short period of time. I could work out a precise metric but it wouldn't mean much. It wouldn't give you more information than that diagram does.

6 Comments:

I believe that accelerated economic progress is a correllary of accelerated technological development. Already we have the knowledge and resources to lift the billions of humans in underdeveloped nations out of poverty. The problem is not a lack of knowledge or resources, but getting them to where they are needed and of applying them. The development of the computer, the Internet and modern communication devices together with improved search engines, electronic banking and financial transactions, automated trading, and immediate dissemination of news, opinion and advice will accelerate economic progress to levels never seen in history. Forget about China's 9% growth rate - prepare for growth rates of 15, 20 or more!

For more thoughts, see my website

www.acceleration.bravehost.com

By Blogger AT, at 1/12/05 23:08  

I couldn't agree with you more. I might add that once the economy is fully automated, espespecially at the nano level, and once we have mastered energy production and efficiency the word "capital" will have completely lost its meaning. I can only wonder what that will do to power relations, crime,war, and the very purpose of government. I expect this condition to ge achieved around 2030 or so. For that reason I tell everyone I know to invest heavily in index funds. Just imagine the return on that investment in just fifteen years or so. It kind of makes worrying about the national debt seem rediculous.

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I just visited your sight. Its really cool. Thanks for the link. I'll be sure to take advantage of your forum and the other features.

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